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Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc. April 30, 2013. Hada Jang Shicheng Tang Yijin (Iris) Zhang. Agenda. Introduction Company Overview Industry Overview Stock Performance Financial Analysis Valuation Recommendation. Company Profile. Introduction. Company. Industry. Valuation.

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green mountain coffee roasters inc

Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Inc.

April 30, 2013

Hada Jang Shicheng Tang Yijin (Iris) Zhang

agenda
Agenda
  • Introduction
  • Company Overview
  • Industry Overview
  • Stock Performance
  • Financial Analysis
  • Valuation
  • Recommendation
company profile
Company Profile

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

  • Headquartered in Waterbury, Vermont
  • One of the leading companies in the specialty coffee and coffee maker businesses.
  • Employed about 5,800 people as of Sep 29, 2012
  • Top four best-selling coffeemakers by dollar volume in the United States

Source: GMRC Inc. 2012 Annual Report

company history
Company History

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

2011: GMCR sold the "Filterfresh" US coffee service portion of Van Houtte's business to Aramark

2006: GMCR acquired KEURIG, Incorporated, a manufacturer of single-cup brewing systems.

1981: Green Mountain Coffee Roaster was established as a small café in Vermont

1981

1993

2006

2010

2011

1981

1993

2006

2010

2004

2010: Green Mountain Coffee acquired Diedrich Coffee for $305.3 million and bought coffee services company Van Houtte for $907.8M

1993: GMCR started publicly trading on the NASDAQ national market

Source: GMRC Inc. 2012 Annual Report

product segments
Product Segments

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

  • The Company manages its operations through three operating segments, the Specialty Coffee business unit (“SCBU”), the KEURIG business unit (“KBU”) and the Canadian business unit (“CBU”).
  • SCBU sources, produces and sells coffee, hot cocoa, teas and other beverages, in a variety of packaging formats, to consumers in the United States.
  • KBU targets its premium patented single cup brewing systems for use both at-home (“AH”) and away-from-home (“AFH”), in the United States.
  • CBU sources, produces and sells coffees and teas and other beverages to Canadian consumers.

Source: GMRC Inc. 2012 Annual Report

sales breakdown
Sales Breakdown

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

  • Net sales for fiscal 2012 increased 46% to $3,859.2 million, up from $2,650.9 million reported in fiscal 2011. The primary drivers of the increase in the Company’s net sales were a 59%, or $1,004.9 million, increase in single serve pack net sales, and a 45%, or $235.1 million, increase in KEURIG Single Cup Brewer and accessories sales.

Source: GMRC Inc. 2012 Annual Report

historical financials
Historical Financials

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg

competitive strength swot analysis
Competitive Strength – SWOT Analysis

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

Source: Marketline

porter s five forces
Porter’s Five Forces

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

macroeconomic indicators
Macroeconomic Indicators

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

stock performance
Stock Performance

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

Equity Snapshot

  • Price: $ 56.47 (April 29, 2013)
  • Beta: 0.31 (0.94 on 5yr avg.)
  • Trailing P/E: 24.39
  • Forward P/E: 17.54
  • PEG Ratio (5 yr. expected):
  • 1.04
  • P/B Ratio: 3.63
  • No divined

Source: Finance.yahoo.com

stock performance1
Stock Performance

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

key financial ratios
Key Financial Ratios

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

Source: Capital IQ

valuation trading comparables
Valuation – Trading Comparables

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

valuation trading comparables cont d
Valuation – Trading Comparables (Cont’d)

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

valuation wacc analysis
Valuation – WACC Analysis

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

valuation revenue projection
Valuation – Revenue Projection

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

FY 2009: acquired the wholesale business and certain assets of Tully’s Coffee Corporation

FY 2010: acquired Timothy’s Coffee of the World Inc. (Nov 13, 2009); Diedrich Coffee, Inc. (May 11, 2010)

FY 2011: acquired LJVH Holdings, Inc. and Subsidiaries (“Van Houtte”) on December 17, 2010

valuation dcf
Valuation – DCF

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

risks drivers
Risks & Drivers

Introduction

Company

Industry

Valuation

recommendation
Recommendation

Watch List