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BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015

Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis. BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015. Documentation: Technical sub report 2: Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability mapping. Objective: Describe vulnerability on a regional scale.

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BE-AWARE II Final Project Conference Ronneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015

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  1. Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability analysis BE-AWARE II Final Project ConferenceRonneby, Sweden: 18-19 November 2015 Documentation: Technical sub report 2: Environmental and socioeconomic vulnerability mapping

  2. Objective: • Describe vulnerability on a regional scale. • map features in a consistent, comparable way to compare across country borders. • Add up effects of different relevant environmental and socio-economic features

  3. Large area • Challenge for homogenous mapping • Dependent on available data • Different levels of: • details • coverage • features

  4. 3 STEPS: • Identification of sensitive features • Vulnerability ranking of each feature • Total vulnerability mapping

  5. 3 STEPS: • Identification of sensitive features

  6. Step 1: ID of features • Identified in BE AWARE I • Final list revised during BE AWARE II • Determined from data availability • Data collected from: • Central sources such as EU institutions, NGO's and international conventions and organisations • Contracting parties • Organised by • Data request note:

  7. Step 1: ID of features 34 Ecological features: 26 Habitats 18 coastal 8 open sea 4 Species 1 fish area 3 bird areas 4 Protected areas

  8. STEP 1– Sensitive socioeconomic features 14 Socioeconomic features: 1 Fisheries offshore & coastal fisheries 3 Aquaculture fish farms Shellfish cultures Algae cultures 5 Tourism & recreation 5 Other

  9. A combination of : • EUNIS habitat classif. system • EU Habitats Directive Ann. 1 Habitat classes EUNIS classification

  10. Habitat classes – Harmonisation

  11. Examples of mapping • Scaling issues: • Regional maps hide local details • present in data sets and used in analysis • Great variability • Some features left out but still in • marine mammals (MPAs)

  12. HabitatsShoreline classes- Exposed rocky< 20 m> 20 m

  13. Sensitivity HabitatsShoreline classes- UW sandbanks< 20 m> 20 m

  14. Sensitivity HabitatsShoreline classes- Shingle beaches

  15. HabitatsShoreline classes- Estuaries

  16. Bird species in original Data request:- Wintering areas- Breeding areas- Staging areas

  17. Aggregated into:

  18. Fish spawners Spring Spring Summer Summer Demersal (herring) Autumn Autumn Winter Winter Pelagic

  19. Fish Pelagic spawnersHaddockBlue whitingNorway poutSaitheCodWhitingWestern mackerelHorse mackerelSpratDemersal spawnersHerring

  20. Fish pelagic spawnersHaddockBlue whitingNorway poutSaitheCodWhitingWestern mackerelHorse mackerelSpratDemersal spawnersHerring

  21. Fish Demersal spawnersHerring

  22. Protected areas- Nature 2000- Norwegian nat. plan- OSPAR MPAs- World Her. site- Ramsar sites

  23. Socio economic tourismMarinasOvernight stays coastal tourist hotelsDensely populated towns and communitiesMain recreational fishing locationsCruise liner stops

  24. Overnight staysEstimate of coastlines w.>20,000 stays/km/yearPossible underestimate insome areas

  25. Socio economy Heritage sitesPortsMineral extraction siteOffshore windfarmsWater intakes

  26. Socio economy Fishing effort2 sources:- ICES data (VMS) ondredges, beam trawl, otter trawl, demersal seiners- Norwegian data (AIS)

  27. 3 STEPS: 2. Vulnerability ranking of each feature

  28. Proposed ranking of all features by COWI based on litterature review Ranking workshop determined a final score list: 4 seasons +/- dispersants

  29. Ranking Criteria based on BE AWARE I Fate of oil related to feature Additional criteria for Soc.Econ Potential impact of oil: Sensitivity Recovery Length of interruption Compensation

  30. 3 STEPS: 3. Total vulnerability mapping

  31. single-feature maps Total (seasonal) Vulnerability Maps

  32. Vulnerability maps Summing individual vulnerability scores x 4 seasons x dispersed oil spills x non-dispersed spills habitats Re-classifying total vulnerability scores: Very high High Medium low Very low species protected areas soc. economic features Weighting btw. features: 25 % Total: 8 Vulnerability maps 4 seasons x 2 oil spill types

  33. Next step (next talk) Impact x Vulnerability => Damage Base case: Surface Damage Base case: Water column

  34. Thank youbeaware.bonnagreement.org Questions?

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