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Exam #3(NOTE: Thurs is deadline for late HW). III 1 PERT. 1A: E(X)=MAX EF =13. 1B: CP = B-C-D 1C: SIGMA = SQUARE ROOT OF 1+2+1 =2 Z=(14-13)/2 = 0.50 (ROW 0.5, COL .00) TABLE = .1915 ANSWER = .5+ .1915 = .6915. IV 1 PERT. IV 1A: E(X)=MAX EF =14. 1B: CP = B-C-D

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1a e x max ef 13
1A: E(X)=MAX EF =13
  • 1B: CP = B-C-D
  • 1C: SIGMA = SQUARE ROOT OF 1+2+1 =2
  • Z=(14-13)/2 = 0.50 (ROW 0.5, COL .00)
  • TABLE = .1915
  • ANSWER = .5+ .1915 = .6915
iv 1a e x max ef 14
IV 1A: E(X)=MAX EF =14
  • 1B: CP = B-C-D
  • 1C: SIGMA = SQUARE ROOT OF 2+3+4 =3
  • Z=(15-14)/3= 0.33 (ROW 0.3, COL .03)
  • TABLE = .1293
  • ANSWER = .5+ .1293 = .6293
iii 3
III 3
  • BAYES
  • P(A’) = 1-.65=.35
  • .4*.65 = .79 .4*.65+.2*.35
slide19
IV 3
  • BAYES
  • P(A’) = 1-.65=.35
  • .25*.65 = .70 .25*.65+.2*.35