WARNING MESSAGES AND EVACUATION - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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WARNING MESSAGES AND EVACUATION

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  1. WARNING MESSAGES AND EVACUATION Hugh Gladwin

  2. Warning messages work when they warn people who then are able to take appropriate action given the constraints of their situation

  3. HURRICANE IVAN BEHAVIORAL ANALYSIS Prepared by Dewberry and Davis, LLC for the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Wilmington and Mobile Districts July 2005

  4. Intensification before landfall over day and night hours with four fairly well behaved hurricanes in terms of track forecast Katrina Andrew Opal Floyd

  5. Boxes = night Saturday Aug 27 Sunday Aug 28 Friday Aug 26 KATRINA to landfall in LA/MS Katrina #13 10am CDT Friday 6 kt forward speed cat 2 tropical storm force winds Florida Panhandle Monday 8am cat 2 eye landfall Monday 11 am

  6. Katrina #13 10am CDT Friday 6 kt forward speed cat 2 tropical storm force winds Florida Panhandle Monday 8am cat 2 eye landfall Monday 11 am

  7. Boxes = night Saturday Aug 27 Sunday Aug 28 Friday Aug 26 KATRINA to landfall in LA/MS Katrina #14 4pm CDT Friday 7 kt forward speed cat 2 tropical storm force winds Monday 8am cat 3-4 eye landfall Monday pm

  8. Katrina #14 4pm CDT Friday 7 kt forward speed cat 2 tropical storm force winds Monday 8am cat 3-4 eye landfall Monday pm

  9. Boxes = night Saturday Aug 27 Sunday Aug 28 Friday Aug 26 KATRINA to landfall in LA/MS Katrina #17 10am CDT Saturday 6 kt forward speed cat 3 tropical storm force winds Monday 3am cat 4 eye landfall Monday 10 am

  10. Katrina #17 10am CDT Saturday 6 kt forward speed cat 3 tropical storm force winds Monday 3am cat 4 eye landfall Monday 10 am

  11. Boxes = night Saturday Aug 27 Sunday Aug 28 Friday Aug 26 KATRINA to landfall in LA/MS Katrina #22 7am CDT Sunday 10 kt forward speed cat 5 tropical storm force winds Sunday 10pm cat 4 eye over New Orleans Monday 11 am

  12. Katrina #22 7am CDT Sunday 10 kt forward speed cat 5 tropical storm force winds Sunday 10pm cat 4 eye over New Orleans Monday 11 am

  13. Boxes = night Saturday Aug 27 Sunday Aug 28 Friday Aug 26 KATRINA to landfall in LA/MS Katrina #22 7am CDT Sunday 10 kt forward speed cat 5 tropical storm force winds Sunday 10pm cat 4 eye over New Orleans Monday 11 am

  14. Boxes = night ANDREW

  15. Monday August 2 1995 Tuesday August 3 1995 Wednesday August 4 1995 OPAL Opal #21 4pm CDT Monday 5 kt forward speed cat 1 tropical storm force winds Thursday 5 am cat 2 eye landfall Thursday 2 pm Boxes = night

  16. Opal #21 4pm CDT Monday 5 kt forward speed cat 1 tropical storm force winds Thursday 5 am cat 2 eye landfall Thursday 2 pm

  17. Monday August 2 1995 Tuesday August 3 1995 Wednesday August 4 1995 OPAL Opal #24 10 am CDT Tuesday 8 kt forward speed cat 1 tropical storm force winds Wednesday 10 pm cat 1 eye landfall Thursday 5 am Boxes = night

  18. Opal #24 10 am CDT Tuesday 8 kt forward speed cat 1 tropical storm force winds Wednesday 10 pm cat 1 eye landfall Thursday 5 am

  19. Monday August 2 1995 Tuesday August 3 1995 Wednesday August 4 1995 OPAL Opal #26 10pm CDT Tuesday 20 kt forward speed cat 3 tropical storm force winds Wednesday 10 am cat 3 eye landfall Wednesday 6 pm Boxes = night

  20. Opal #26 10pm CDT Tuesday 20 kt forward speed cat 3 tropical storm force winds Wednesday 10 am cat 3 eye landfall Wednesday 6 pm

  21. Monday August 2 1995 Tuesday August 3 1995 Wednesday August 4 1995 OPAL Opal #27 4am CDT Wednesday 17 kt forward speed cat 3 tropical storm force winds Thursday 11 am cat 3 eye landfall Thursday 8 pm Boxes = night

  22. Boxes = night FLOYD

  23. WARNING MESSAGES AND EVACUATION Hugh Gladwin