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KOREA MARITIME INSTITUTE

Study on Container Throughput Forecasting for Shipping and Port Development Strategies in the APEC Region. 22 nd APEC Transportation Working Group Meeting 1-5 September 2003, Busan, Korea. KOREA MARITIME INSTITUTE. CONTENTS. Korea Maritime Institute. Overview New Project Introduce MPPM

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KOREA MARITIME INSTITUTE

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  1. Study on Container Throughput Forecasting for Shipping and Port Development Strategies in the APEC Region 22nd APEC Transportation Working Group Meeting 1-5 September 2003, Busan, Korea KOREA MARITIME INSTITUTE

  2. CONTENTS Korea Maritime Institute • Overview New Project • Introduce MPPM • Discussions • Conclusion

  3. NEED FOR STRATEGIES FOR PORT DEVELOPMENT AND SHIPPING NETWORK Korea Maritime Institute • PORT DEVELOPMENT : HUGE AND LONG-TERM INVESTMENT • CARGO FORECATING - DEVELOPING COUNTIRES: NO FORECATING - DEVELOPED COUNTRIES: OVER FORECATING • SHIPPING REQUIREMENT IN THE REGION

  4. OBJECTIVES OF STUDY Korea Maritime Institute • PROVIDING MEDIUM AND LONG-TERM PROSPECTS FOR SHIPPING AND PORT DEVELOPMENT • FORMULATING POLICY GUIDELINES FOR REGIONAL MARITIME STRATEGY PLANNING • ACCESSING THE IMPACT OF THE CHANGES IN MARITITME ENVIRONMENT

  5. METHODOLOGY Korea Maritime Institute • COLLECTING BASE DATA - CIY DATA - SURVEY TO PORT AUTHORITIES • TOOL: UPGARDED MPPM • COUTRY LEVEL SEMINARS

  6. UN/ESCAP Maritime Policy Planning Model (MPPM) Korea Maritime Institute • DEVELOPED IN 1992 by UV/ESCAP • 3 SUB-REGION STUDIES : ASEAN(1992), SOUTH ASIA(1993), EAST ASIA(1994) • 1 INTRA REGIONAL STUDY (1997) • REGIONAL SHIPPING AND PORT DEVELOPMENT STUDY (2001)

  7. MODULES OF MPPM Korea Maritime Institute CIY Port Data Prior trade history Port share Routes Service details Vessel description Port usage data Port facility Input Trade Module Liner Shipping Network Module Port Strategic Planning Module Output Port-to-port cargo flows Fleet required Vessel calls at ports Port throughputs Port capacity required

  8. UPGRADE MPPM Korea Maritime Institute • ORIGINAL MPPM - BASED ON DOS SYSTEM - RESTRICTED NUMBER OF PORT AND T/S HUB - DIFFICULT TO USE • UPGRADED MPPM - WINDOW VERSION - USER FRIENDLINESS - POSSIBLE INLAND TRASPORTATION SYSTEM EXPANSION • KOREAN GOV’T FINANCES MODEL UPGRADE

  9. POSSIBLE BENEFICIARIES Korea Maritime Institute • PORT PLANNER/GOVERNMENT FOMULATING REALISTIC STRATEGIES IN DEVELOPING PORT FACILITIES AND HUB-PORT • SHIPOWNER SHIPPING ROUTE DECISION, SHIPPING CAPACITY INVESTMENT • SHIPPER EFFICIENT SHIPPING NETWORK

  10. STUDY OUTPUT Korea Maritime Institute • REGIONAL MARITIME STRATEGY PLANNING PUBLICATION INCLUDING CONTAINER FLOW PROJECTIONS, INVESTMENT REQUIREMENT AND POLICY ACTION GUIDELINES • REPORT OF STUDY FINDINGS AND PROCEDINGS OF THE COUNTRY-LEVEL SEMINARS

  11. Data collection and cooperation from Economies Korea Maritime Institute

  12. PROJECT STAGES AND SCHEDULE Korea Maritime Institute

  13. PROJECT BUDGET Korea Maritime Institute (IN US$) UN/ESCAP WILL PROVIDE THE SOURCE OF MPPM AND THE GOVERNMENT OF REPUBLIC OF KOREA WILL UPGARDE THE MPPM AT THE COST OF US$100,000 THIS YEAR. This Chart is made blank according to the state of waiting confirmation.

  14. Conclusion Korea Maritime Institute APEC region study Use computerized model Need your cooperation Contribute shipping and port industry

  15. THANK YOU VERY MUCH KOREA MARITIME INSTITUTE

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