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The Age of Obama and the Lessons of the 1930s

Housing Bubble and Bust. John M. Quigley. The Age of Obama and the Lessons of the 1930s Institute for Research on Labor and Employment October 29, 2010. Obama Administration Mortgage Programs: October 2010. Home Affordable Refinancing borrowers current on payments

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The Age of Obama and the Lessons of the 1930s

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  1. Housing Bubble and Bust John M. Quigley The Age of Obama and the Lessons of the 1930s Institute for Research on Labor and EmploymentOctober 29, 2010

  2. Obama Administration Mortgage Programs: October 2010 Home Affordable Refinancing • borrowers current on payments • mortgages guaranteed by F&F Home Affordable Modification (HAMP) • borrowers who owe less than $725K • hardship (medical bills) • P/I greater than 31% Second Loan Modification • HAMP participants Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) • short sales • deed in lieu of foreclosure * But one out of six modifications is currently 60 days past due $1.7M * $1.4M “trials” * $0.5M “permanent” * Hardest Hit Fund • $600M to 5 HFAs

  3. Housing Prices • Housing Construction • Mortgage Market

  4. Distressed Sales as Percentage of Total Sales

  5. Administration Programs of Very Limited Importance • Aggregate Demand of Great Importance • Bleak Outlook for Housing Starts, Housing Prices

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