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Sustainability: On schedule. Kauai Sustainability The Problems. Perspective Depletion – Replacement Island Economy Agriculture. Perspective. We ignore history We cannot comprehend the future We believe in the status quo or its improvement We shoot at the target during planning.
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Kauai SustainabilityThe Problems Perspective Depletion – Replacement Island Economy Agriculture
Perspective • We ignore history • We cannot comprehend the future • We believe in the status quo or its improvement • We shoot at the target during planning
Depletion – Replacement • Fossil fuels are quickly becoming very expensive and less available as they are depleted • We will not be able to replace them with other fuels and maintain current production • EROEI
Cheap Oil Cheap Coal Expensive Oil *uranium* Expensive Coal LNG EROEI ca 5:1 Wood Everything Else
Island Economy • We no longer produce much, either for ourselves or others • We are merely a destination, either for visitors or real estate investment • As “free energy” disappears people will stop coming in droves, and people will stop sending money in boxes
Kauai`s Economy 1 million visitors spending $1 billion dollars every year Expect this to change drastically
July 3, 2005 “No airline can make money at $50 crude oil prices; now were up to $60,” Southwest Airlines chief Gary Kelly groused last week to Bloomberg News. And his carrier is one of the few making money. Indeed, most experts agree that oil at $50 to $60 a barrel raises elemental questions about how airlines will survive.
Agriculture • A return to agrarian society? • Arguably, we have some of the worst agricultural soils in the world • Naturally, grasses and trees are the only groups of plants that will grow well (sustainably) • We cannot eat much of either
25% of US oil consumption goes to agriculture (NOT including packaging, refrigeration, and trucking)
80% of the food we eat on Kauai is brought in from elsewhere.