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საპენსიო რეფორმის საჭიროება საქართველოში

საპენსიო რეფორმის საჭიროება საქართველოში. რეზო საყევარიშვილი 19 ოქტომბერი, 2010. prezentaciis struqtura. preistoria sapensio modelebi msoflio konteqsti saqarTvelos konteqsti reformis saWiroeba. preistoria. axali diskusiis dasawyisi _ 90-iani wlebis Sua periodi

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საპენსიო რეფორმის საჭიროება საქართველოში

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  1. საპენსიო რეფორმის საჭიროება საქართველოში რეზო საყევარიშვილი 19 ოქტომბერი, 2010

  2. prezentaciisstruqtura • preistoria • sapensio modelebi • msoflio konteqsti • saqarTvelos konteqsti • reformis saWiroeba

  3. preistoria • axalidiskusiisdasawyisi _ 90-iani wlebisSuaperiodi • msofliobankispublikaciaAverting The Old Age Crisis (1994) • ZiriTadigamowvevebiarsebulisapensiosistemebisTvis: • adamianissicocxlisxangrZlivobisgazrda • demografiuliproblemebis (SromiTiresursebisdabereba) mateba • solidarulisapensiosistemebis (Pay-As-You-Go) deficitiszrda

  4. preistoria (gagrZeleba) • msoflio banki(World Bank) • Sromis msoflio organizacia (ILO) • socialuri usafrTxoebis saerTaSoriso asociacia (International Social Security Association) konsensusis formula _ `universaluri recepti ar arsebobs, yvela qveyanam unda aarCios erovnul specifikasa da ekonomikis ganviTarebis doneze damyarebuli sakuTari modeli”

  5. sapensiosistemismodelebi • solidarul principze • dagrovebiT principze • Sereuli

  6. msoflio konteqsti wyaroebi: • Measuring the pressure on EU pensions systems (AON Consulting) • National Institute on Aging (USA) • Eurostat • Standard&Poor’s

  7. msoflio konteqsti (gagrZeleba) • mosaxleobisdaberebisdapensiazeadregasvlisgamosapensiosistemebisstabilurobamcirdeba • ekonomikurikrizisisdaSromiTiresursebisSemcirebisgamo, saxelmwifopensiebisulufronaklebadSeesabamebacxovrebisdones • korporatiulipensiebisodenobaizrdeba, magramarasakmarisitempebiT

  8. prognozebi • 65 wlamde asakis mosaxleobis odenoba 2040 wlamde dRevandeli 7%-dan 14%-16% mde gaizrdeba • dasavleT evropaSi 17,8% dan 28,1% mde • yvelaze metad gaizrdeba 80 + asakovanTa ricxvi • dasavleT evropaSi 85 wels zemoT _ 4,9%dan 9,3%mde

  9. prognozebi • Old age dependency ratio(65 wlisdaufrosiasakisSefardeba 15-64 wlamdeasakismosaxleobasTan) evrokavSiris 27 qveyanaSidReavandelisaSualo 25%-dan 2040 wlisTvis 45%-mde, 2060 wlisTviski 53%-mdegaizrdeba • evrokavSiris 27 qveyanaSisapensioxarjebimSp-s 9,1%-s Seadgens. sapensioreformebisganuxorcieleblobisSemTxvevaSimaTiwili 2040 wlisTvis 11,1%-mdegaizrdeba.

  10. gamosavali • saxelmwifo sapensio danaxarjebis optimizacia: • sapensio asakis gazrda • “gamonaklisebis” gauqmeba • dagrovebiTi sapensio sqemebis stimulireba • magaliTebi: • safrangeTi • eqtoneTi

  11. saqarTvelo – dRevandeli mdgomareoba • saqarTveloSiarsebulisistema arc erTZiriTad 3 models arSeesabameba • kanonisaxelmwifopensiebisSesaxeb • kanoniarasaxelmwifosapensiodazRvevisadauzrunvelyofisSesaxeb • swrafvaevropisken – evropuliqartiisCarCo

  12. saqarTvelo – dRevandeli mdgomareoba • sapensio asakis mosaxleoba – saerTo mosaxleobis 16,6% • sicocxlis xangrZlivoba – 76,72 • pensias Rebulobs sapensio asakis mosaxleobis 90% • pensiis moculoba – 80 lari • sapensio danaxarji – 2010 wlis saxelmwifo biujetis 12,6%

  13. saqarTvelo – dRevandeli mdgomareoba • asakovanimosaxleoba: • sapensioasakismosaxleobagaizarda 4 %-iT 2000-2009 ww • 85+ gaizarda 57%-iT • bavSvebi: • 0-15 wlamdebavSvebisricxovnobaSemcirda 20%-iT 2000-2009 ww • bavSvTasikvdilianoba 16,22 (saS.evropuli 5,6) • migracia: - 50,000 adamiani 2000-2009 ww • dasaqmeba/umuSevroba: • 4,3%-iTgazardaumuSevroba 2004-2009 ww • 13%-iTSemcirdaformalurseqtorSidasaqmebulTaricxvi 2000-2009 ww

  14. gamowvevebi: • sapensio garantireba ar aris institucionalizebuli • mosaxleoba berdeba • sabiujeto wnexi izrdeba • saxelmwifo biujeti ver izrdeba • sxva socialuri valdebulebebi izrdeba

  15. sapensio repormis miznebi

  16. problemismogvarebisSesaZlogzebi: • sapensio asakis momateba • gamonTavisuflebuli fulis mimarTva pensionerTa socialur saWiroebebisaken • sapensio valdebulebebis institucionalizacia: • kanonmdeblobaSi mkafio valdebulebebis asaxva • sapensio saxsrebis finansuri wyaros identificireba • asakiT pensiis integracia socialuri daxmarebis erTian sistemaSi • kerZo dagrovebiTi sqemebis ganviTarebis stimulireba

  17. sadiskusio kiTxvebi • arsebuli realobidan gamomdinare, saWiroa Tu ara sapensio uzrunvelyofis sistemuri cvlileba? • siRaribis daZlevis miznobriobis gazrdisTvis SesaZlebelia Tu ara asakiT pensiis integracia socialuri daxmarebis erTian sistemaSi? mosalodnelia Tu ara sapensio sistemis efeqtianobis zrda dagrovebiTi komponentis gaZlierebiT?

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