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2014 long-term planning

2014 long-term planning. Planning Conference Vienna, 26 June 2014. Agenda. Schedule Planning parameters of 2014 LTP Free capacities - areas of potential congestion Projects for 2014 LTP Infrastructure standard Capacity announcements 2015 Summary Discussion/questions. Agenda.

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2014 long-term planning

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  1. 2014 long-term planning Planning Conference Vienna, 26 June 2014 Planning Conference

  2. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parameters of 2014 LTP • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  3. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parameters of 2014 LTP • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  4. Schedule for 2014 LTP Planning Conference

  5. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parametersof 2014 LTP • Objectives in energy policy • LTP data models • Monitoring of 2013 LTP projects • Consumption forecast • Entry model • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  6. EU objectives in energy policy • EU energy strategy - long-term objectives • Counteracting climate change • Reducing dependence on imports • Promoting growth and employment through competitive energy supply • Energy Action Plan “An energy policy for Europe” • Creating and putting into practice an Internal Energy Market at EU level • Security of energy supply • Energy efficiency and renewable energy sources • Binding target: 20% of overall energy consumption from renewable energy sources  Renewable Energy Directive - individual targets for each Member State • 22 January 2014 - 2030 framework for climate and energy policies: 27% renewable energy, 40% less greenhouse gases by 2030 • 25 October 2012 - Energy Efficiency Directive: reduction by 1.5% of annual primary energy consumption • Energy technology • External energy policy Planning Conference

  7. Austria’s objectives in energy policy • “2013-2018 Working Programme of the Austrian Federal Government” • Drafting a 2030 energy strategy • Transposing the EU Energy Efficiency Directive • Achieving the 1.5% energy efficiency target • Continued efforts towards expanding renewable energy • »EU 2020 targets«: Implementing measures to achieve Austria’s self-imposed targets (34% renewable energy; -16% greenhouse gases; +20% energy efficiency) • Active support for 2030 framework for climate and energy policies Planning Conference

  8. LTP data models Entry model How much gas is transported into the distribution area, and where and when does this happen? A high level of flexibility must be supported. Network model How must thedistribution systembe structured in order to be able to make all transports possible? The system must be flexible in practical use. How much gas flows out of the distribution network , and where and when does this happen? Sound data basis available. Exit model Planning Conference

  9. Monitoring of LTP 13 projects - pipeline projects Laa Oberkappel Baumgarten Arnreith Bad Leonf Rainbach Gr. Göttfritz Kirchberg WAG AZ . CS_Baumgarten 1 + 2 Tall . Schönk . Ebelsberg Kronau TAG AZ Aderklaa . Leop Mannswörth Puchkirchen DN 800 Kronstorf refinery DN 800 Edelsthal Schwechat Reitsham Friedburg Reichersdorf Wilfleinsdorf DN 500 Expected completion date: 31 July 2014 Krift Hornstein DN 800 Eggendorf Stor. fac. Haidach Zagling Wr . Neustadt Expected completion date: 15 July 2014 Lichtenwörth Semmering Pyhrn Grafendorf St. Margarethen Fürstenfeld St. Michael Bruck/Mur Network expansion contract concluded Weitendorf No network expansion contract DN 500 Sulmeck Greith Finkenstein Ebenthal Weisenberg Ettendorf Arnoldstein Planning Conference

  10. Monitoring of LTP 13 projects - non-pipeline projects Planning Conference

  11. Analysis of standard load profile customers Eastern market area Planning Conference

  12. Analysis of standard load profile customers Eastern market area Planning Conference

  13. Consumption scenarios Eastern market area Planning Conference

  14. Consumption forecast: energy Eastern market area Planning Conference

  15. Consumption forecast: power Eastern market area Planning Conference

  16. Power station projects Laa Oberkappel Baumgarten Arnreith Bad Leonf Rainbach Gr. Göttfritz Kirchberg WAG AZ CS_Baumgarten 1 + 2 Tall . Schönk . Ebelsberg Kronau TAG AZ Aderklaa . 75 75 Puchkirchen Mannswörth 80 Riedersbach Theiß 90 Kronstorf refinery Vienna Edelsthal Schwechat Reitsham Haidach Dürnrohrcapacity expansion application 2025 Wilfleinsdorf Krift Hornstein Eggendorf Stor. fac. Haidach Zagling 75 Lichtenwörth Peisching Pyhrn Grafendorf Power station projects St. Margarethen Fürstenfeld St. Michael Bruck/Mur Planned completion date: 2019 [kNm³/h] Weitendorf 75 Graz Planned completion date: 2024 [kNm³/h] Sulmeck Greith 75 Finkenstein Ebenthal Weisenberg Ettendorf Arnoldstein Planning Conference

  17. Entry model capacitycontract capacitycontract annualbooking capacitycontract Planning Conference

  18. Consequences from the consumption scenariosfor storage facilities Planning Conference

  19. Capacity status storage cluster West, exit Exit potential oftheupperaustrianstorages 2015 in comparisontotheactualusage in the gas year 2011 Exit potential oftheupperaustrianstorages [kNm³/h] Consumption in thedistributionareaeast [kNm³/h] Planning Conference

  20. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parameters of 2014 LTP • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  21. Free capacities - areas of potential congestion •  •  •  •  •  •  •  •  •  •  •  •  Planning Conference

  22. Congestion Planning Conference

  23. Congestion entry Haidach - exit Baumgarten Laa Oberkappel Baumgarten Arnreith Bad Leonf Rainbach Gr. Göttfritz Kirchberg WAG AZ CS_Baumgarten 1 + 2 Tall . Schönk . Ebelsberg Kronau TAG AZ Aderklaa . Leop 1 January 2017 1 January 2017 Mannswörth Puchkirchen Kronstorf refinery Edelsthal Schwechat Reitsham Friedburg Reichersdorf Wilfleinsdorf Krift Hornstein 1 April 2016 Eggendorf Stor. fac. Haidach Zagling Wr . Neustadt Lichtenwörth Semmering Pyhrn Grafendorf St. Margarethen Fürstenfeld St. Michael Bruck/Mur Network expansion contract concluded Weitendorf Network expansion contract required Sulmeck Greith Finkenstein Ebenthal Weisenberg Ettendorf Arnoldstein Planning Conference

  24. Capacity status storage cluster West, entry Planning Conference

  25. Capacity status storage cluster West, exit Planning Conference

  26. Capacity status storage cluster West, exit Exit potential oftheupperaustrianstorages 2015 in comparisontotheactualusage in the gas year 2011 Exit potential oftheupperaustrianstorages [kNm³/h] Consumption in thedistributionareaeast [kNm³/h] Planning Conference

  27. consumption analysis Tyrol • Additional capacity required from Nov. to March: approx. 85,000 kWh/h Planning Conference

  28. Possible linepack use Tyrol outtakepressure Kiefersfelden station [barg] • Additional new customers from 2/2012: approx. 200 MW • No add. freely allocable capacity can be booked with bayernets • Analysis: • Taking into account additional customers at a coincidence factor of 0.5 • Temperature pattern as in previous three years Planning Conference

  29. Solution proposals for Tyrol • Proposal 1: interruptible capacity + flow commitment = freely allocable capacity • + can be implemented easily • - additional costs • - legal issues yet to be clarified • Proposal 2: interruptible capacity + measures specified in Section 25 GWG • + no additional costs • - consumers must be able to reduce capacity in case of congestion • - more complex solution • AGGM is in favour of Proposal 2 • If no agreement is reached, Proposal 1 will have to be implemented Planning Conference

  30. Congestion at Wilfleinsdorf Velm Wilfleinsdorf Gate valve facility Mitterndorf Mannersdorf • Current situation: • 17.6 bar pressure reduction between Velm and Wilfleinsdorf, load at all-time high • Mitterndorf-Mannersdorf pipeline was built in 1957 • Gate valve facility - replacement investments badly needed Planning Conference

  31. Congestion at Wilfleinsdorf • Objectives • Comply with specified pressure • 40 barg outgoing pressure at Wilfleinsdorf • Increase usable linepack in new South line • Renew existing pipelines Planning Conference

  32. Master plan Wilfleinsdorf Planning Conference

  33. Project 2014/1 Section 2 Section 1 • Section 1: Pipeline segment Velm-Mannersdorf 12.8 km, DN 250, PN 70 • Section 2: Adaptation of Wilfleinsdorf station Planning Conference

  34. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parameters of 2014 LTP • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  35. Projects for 2014 LTP Planning Conference

  36. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parameters of 2014 LTP • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  37. Infrastructure standard Source: BMWFW, Risikobewertung 2014 Planning Conference

  38. Capacity announcements 2015 Planning Conference

  39. Agenda • Schedule • Planning parameters of 2014 LTP • Free capacities - areas of potential congestion • Projects for 2014 LTP • Infrastructure standard • Capacity announcements 2015 • Summary • Discussion/questions Planning Conference

  40. Summary • Capacity demand can be covered for all consumers • Precondition: additional capacity at Kiefersfelden • Announced capacity for storage facilities at a high level • Storage cluster West • Entry: 952,000 Nm³/h standard capacity • Exit: 790,000 Nm³/h standard capacity • Storage cluster East • Entry: 2,413,000 Nm³/h standard capacity • Exit: 1,383,000 Nm³/h standard capacity Planning Conference

  41. Discussion • Are there any additional interests that have not been taken into account in the 2014 LTP? • Is the schedule for preparing the LTP acceptable? Approval for LTP expected between October and December. • Budget approval for project implementation • Annual capacity booking Planning Conference

  42. Contact/publishing information Helmut Wittmann Floridsdorfer Hauptstraße 1 floridotower 1210 Vienna Austria Phone: +43 (1) 27 560-28870 Fax: +43 (1) 27 560-628870 helmut.wittmann@aggm.at www.aggm.at/en Planning Conference

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