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Political Polarization in American Politics

Political Polarization in American Politics. Chapters 10 - 17. David Leip’s Atlas of Election Results. 2016 Popular vote as of 16 November 2016. David Leip’s Atlas of Election Results 2012. 2012 County Map – Obama vs. Romney. The Economist Magazine. The New York Times.

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Political Polarization in American Politics

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  1. Political Polarization in American Politics Chapters 10 - 17

  2. David Leip’s Atlas of Election Results. 2016 Popular vote as of 16 November 2016

  3. David Leip’s Atlas of Election Results 2012

  4. 2012 County Map – Obama vs. Romney

  5. The Economist Magazine

  6. The New York Times

  7. Size of Lead: New York Times

  8. 48D -- 52R (After LA Runoff)

  9. 193D – 242R After two Run Offs in LA and counting one R ahead (Issa, R-CA)

  10. Jeff Stonecash • Chapter 10: The Two Key Factors Behind our Polarized Politics • 1. Fundamental Disagreements about what and how government should do. • 2. A long-term realignment brought this debate into sharp focus. Namely the movement of Southern Democrats into the Republican Party.

  11. Stonecash

  12. Francis Lee • Chapter 11: American politics is more competitive than ever, and that is making partisanship worse. • 1. The period most similar to the 1980 – Now is the “Gilded Age” 1876 – 1896 – both are periods of close and alternating party majorities, as well as of fierce party conflict. • 2. Competition for power, not only ideological polarization, contributes to our confrontational contemporary politics (this is a distinction without a difference).

  13. Lee

  14. Alan Abramowitz • Chapter 12: How Race and Religion have Polarized American Voters • 1. Mass Polarization is largely due to the fact that Democratic and Republican elected officials represent electoral coalitions that differ sharply in their social characteristics and political orientations. • 2. The population is increasingly non-White. • 3. There are deep differences between religious and non-religious people.

  15. Abramowitz

  16. Abramowitz

  17. Abramowitz

  18. Hans Noel • Chapter 13: How ideological activists constructed our polarized parties. • 1. Distinguishes “liberal-conservative” conflict with modern day division – First Dimension is best understood as Regulation of the Economy. • 2. Second Dimension captures divisions (usually regional) within one or both Political Parties.

  19. The 16th Amendment: Allowed Taxes on Income Ratified 3 February 1913

  20. The 17th Amendment: The Popular Election of Senators Ratified 8 April 1913

  21. The 18th Amendment: Banning Intoxicating Liquors Ratified 16 January 1919

  22. The 19th Amendment: The Right of Women to Vote. Ratified on 26 August 1920

  23. Andrew Gelman • Chapter 14: How better educated whites are driving political polarization • 1. He is only concerned with Abortion. This limits his analysis considerably.

  24. Gelman

  25. Gelman

  26. Gelman

  27. Matthew Levendusky • Chapter 15: Are Fox and MSNBC polarizing America? See Arceneaux and Johnson and Stroud and Curry in American Gridlock

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