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Сравнени тельн ый анализ це н на сельскохозяйственную продукцию: Беларусь и мировые рынки Comparing agricultural prices: Belarus and internatioal markets. Dmitry Prikhodko Economist FAO Investment Centre Division.

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dmitry prikhodko economist fao investment centre division

Сравненительный анализ цен на сельскохозяйственную продукцию: Беларусь и мировые рынкиComparing agricultural prices: Belarus and internatioal markets

Dmitry Prikhodko

Economist

FAO Investment Centre Division

whe at prices in belarus and international markets us t
Цены на пшеницу в Беларуси и мировых рынкахWheat prices in Belarus and international marketsUS$/t

Ref: Ukraine-France/Rouen R=0,83

Ukraine-US Gulf, R=0,74

Source: Official Belarus Data and FAO

wheat prices in ukraine and international prices us t
Ценами на пшеницу в Украине и мировых рынкахWheat prices in Ukraine and international pricesUS$/t

Ukraine-France/Rouen R=0,83

Ukraine-US Gulf, R=0,74

Own presentation based on APK-Inform data

m aize prices in belarus and international prices us t
Цены нафуражную кукурузув Беларуси и на мировых рынках Maize prices in Belarus and international pricesUS$/t

Source: Official Belarus Data and FAO

butter prices in belarus and international markets us t
Цены на масло животное в Беларуси и на мировых рынках Butter prices in Belarus and international marketsUS$/t

Source: Official Belarus Data and FAO

correlation of beef prices in belarus and world prices us t
Цены на говядинув Беларуси и цены на мировых рынкахCorrelation of beef prices in Belarus and world pricesUS$/t

Source: Official Belarus Data and FAO

price volatility
Волатильность ценPrice Volatility

Волатильность цен на осовные виды с.-х. продукции в Беларуси была ниже чем на мировых рынках

Agricultural prices were less volatile in Belarus than in international markets

Возможные причины

Possible reasons

1) Разные ценовые базисы (закупочные цены в Беларуси по сравнению с биржевыми, эксп. цены по сравн. с внутренним)

  • Different price basis (purchasing prices in Belarus vs. commodity exchange prices for intern. markets, export vs domestic prices)

2) Государственное ценовое регулирование в Беларуси

2) State Price Regulation in Balarus

price correlation
Корреляция ценPrice correlation

Цены на экспортно-ориентированную продукцию животноводства в Беларуси имеют высокий уровень корреляции с международными ценами

Prices of export-oriented meat and dairy products in Belarus well correlate with international markets

Возможные причины

Possible reasons

1) Ориентированность как мировых, так и белорусских экспортных поставок на рынок Российской Федерации.

Russia is the target export market for exports from both Belarus and other countries.

price correlation9
Корреляция ценPrice correlation

Однако, цены на зерно в Беларуси не связаны с мировыми рынкамии существенно ниже мировых цен

However, grain prices in Belarus are significantly lower than international market and have poor correlation with world prices.

Возможные причины

Possible reasons

1) Государственное регулирование

State price regulation

slide10

Дзякуй за ўвагу!

Thank you for attention!

E-mail: Dmitry.Prikhodko@fao.org