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Framing Adaptation at the State Level:. Developing the Oregon Climate Change Adaptation Framework. PNW Climate Science Conference 2011. September 14, 2011. Oregon Climate Change Adaptation Framework. Presentation at a glance What were we trying to do?

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

Framing Adaptation

at the

State Level:

Developing the OregonClimate Change Adaptation Framework

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

oregon climate change adaptation framework
Oregon Climate Change Adaptation Framework

Presentation at a glance

  • What were we trying to do?
  • ‘Dimensions’ of adaptation planning
  • State adaptation planning models
  • Key Framework dimension
  • Important lessons

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide3
What were we trying to do?
  • Identify people, communities, infrastructure and resources at risk from the effects of future climate conditions, and assess the state’s capacity to address those risks.

Develop the science--management interface

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide4
‘Dimensions’ of adaptation planning

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

climate changes and impacts
Climate Changes and Impacts
  • Not enough water
  • Too much water
  • Hot water
  • Not enough snowpack
  • In-migration
  • Rising sea levels
  • Ocean temperatures
  • Ocean pH
  • Habitat changes
  • Wildfire
  • Flood
  • Drought
  • New diseases
  • Heat waves
  • Big storms
  • Coastal erosion
  • Landslides
  • No fish
  • Wetland loss

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

state agencies
State agencies
  • Agriculture
  • Forestry
  • Fish & Wildlife
  • Land Conservation & Development
  • State Lands
  • Environmental Quality
  • Energy
  • Watershed Enhancement
  • Water Resources
  • Transportation
  • Parks & Recreation
  • Sea Grant
  • Climate Change Research Institute

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

things that will be affected
Things that will be affected
  • Public health
  • Water supply
  • Forestry
  • Fish and wildlife habitat
  • Coastal resources
  • Agriculture
  • Transportation
  • Urban infrastructure
  • Energy infrastructure
  • Water supply
  • Economy
  • ...

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

partners
Partners

Federal agencies

  • NOAA
  • EPA
  • USGS
  • FEMA
  • USFWS
  • USDA/FS
  • USDA/NRCS
  • BOR
  • FHWA
  • Native American Tribes
  • Cities
  • Counties
  • Special districts
  • Individuals
  • NGOs

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide9
State Adaptation Planning Models

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide10
California: Climate Adaptation Strategy

Sectors:

  • Public health
  • Biodiversity and habitat
  • Oceans and coastal resources
  • Water supply
  • Agriculture
  • Forestry
  • Transportation and energy infrastructure

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide11
Maryland: Comprehensive Strategy to Reduce Vulnerability to Climate Change

Systems:

  • Existing built environment and infrastructure
  • Future built environment and infrastructure
  • Resources and resource-based industries
  • Human health, safety and welfare

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide12
Florida: Policy Framework for Adaptation

Policy Domains:

  • Climate adaptation science policy
  • Planning and decision-making
  • Comprehensive land use planning and building regulation
  • Water resource management
  • Transportation and other infrastructure
  • Conservation of natural lands and marine systems
  • Beaches and beach management
  • Emergency preparedness and response
  • Insurance
  • State funding and financing
  • Economic development, health, and social effects
  • Organizing state government

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide13
Oregon’s starting point:

Systems

  • Ecosystems/Natural systems
  • Built and developed systems
  • Public health and safety
  • Economy

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

initial inventory
Initial inventory
  • System (Natural systems, ...)
  • Subsystem (Forestry, ...)
  • Likely Effects

(Increased wildfire, species changes, habitat changes …)

  • Risks and Opportunities

(Reduction of carbon sequestration potential; soil loss/damage; ecosystem and habitat alteration; CO2 emissions from fire …)

  • Current and Planned Actions
  • Gaps in state capacity

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

initial inventory1
Initial inventory
  • System (Natural systems, ...)
  • Subsystem (Forestry, ...)
  • Likely Effects

(Increased wildfire, species changes, habitat changes …)

  • Risks and Opportunities

(Reduction of carbon sequestration potential; soil loss/damage; ecosystem and habitat alteration; CO2 emissions from fire …)

  • Current and Planned Actions
  • Gaps in state capacity

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

key framework dimension climate risks
Key Framework Dimension: Climate risks

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide17
1.Increased average temperatures and extreme heat events

2.Changes in hydrology and water supply

3.Increase in wildfires

4.Increase in ocean temperatures and changes in ocean chemistry

5.Increased incidence of drought

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide18
6.Increased coastal erosion

7.Changes species and habitats

8.Increase in diseases and invasive species

9.Loss of wetland ecosystems

10.Increased frequency of extreme precipitation events and floods

11.Increased landslides

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide19
Risk profiles
  • Background information on the risk
  • Gaps in state capacity to address risk
  • Needed agency actions
  • Priority actions

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide20
Looking to the future

Areas for continued collaboration:

  • Implementation
  • Downscaling: Risk assessments at the regional level
    • Multiple landscape scales:
      • Ecoregions, regions, watersheds, basins, counties, cities
  • Pilot projects
  • Research

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

important lessons
Important lessons
  • Rely on climate science
  • Identify risks across systems or sectors
  • Risk-based adaptation planning integrates across landscape scales, jurisdictional boundaries, and institutional silos
  • A lot of adaptation will involve doing thingsdifferently, as opposed to doing new things

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011

slide22

OregonClimate Change Adaptation Framework

Download the Adaptation Framework:

http://www.oregon.gov/LCD/docs/ClimateChange/Framework_Final.pdf

For more information:jeff.weber@state.or.us

PNW Climate Science Conference 2011

September 14, 2011