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BOE Advisory Council July 25, 2013 The Economic Outlook
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  1. BOE Advisory CouncilJuly 25, 2013The Economic Outlook Joe Fitz Chief of Research and Statistics Board of Equalization

  2. U.S. Economic ForecastSelected U.S. Economic Indicators Actual Forecast 1/ 2011201220132014 Real Gross Domestic Product (Percent Change) 1.8%2.2%1.6%2.7% Consumer Price Index (Percent Change) 3.1%2.1%1.3%1.5% Unemployment Rate (Percent) 8.9%8.1%7.6%7.2% Ten-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Rates 2.8%1.8%2.2%2.7% 1/ Source: Global Insight July 2013 forecast

  3. Real Gross Domestic Product

  4. Real Growth by Component of Consumption

  5. Real Growth by Component of Nonresidential Investment

  6. Real Growth by Component of Residential Investment

  7. Real Growth of Exports and Imports

  8. Real Growth of Government Spending

  9. Consumer Prices

  10. U.S. Gasoline Prices (Cents/gallon)

  11. U.S. Unemployment Rate (%)

  12. Federal Deficit (Federal FY, Billions $)

  13. Ten-Year Treasury Note Yield (%)

  14. Monthly Financial Obligations as a Percent of Disposable Income

  15. Percent Change in U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls

  16. U.S. Employment Growth

  17. 2013-14 May Revision Forecasts for California

  18. Changes in Taxable Sales From 2006 to 2011 (Top Ten Cities Ranked by Population)

  19. 2011 Per Capita Taxable Sales(Top Ten Cities Ranked by Population)

  20. Cities Expanding in Taxable Sales (Ranked by Population of the Top Ten Expanding Cities)

  21. Cities Not Expanding in Taxable Sales (Ranked by Population of the Top Ten Cities Not Expanding)

  22. 2010 and 2011 Changes in Taxable Sales(Top Ten Cities Ranked by Population)

  23. 2010 and 2011 Changes in Taxable SalesCities Expanding in Taxable Sales

  24. 2010 and 2011 Changes in Taxable SalesCities Not Expanding in Taxable Sales

  25. Questions???