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THE GWU BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters Do you think things in the country are going in the right direction or are on the wrong track? MIDTERM TRENDS 2006 2010

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

THE GWU BATTLEGROUND POLL

A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters

slide2

Do you think things in the country are going in the right direction or are on the wrong track? MIDTERM TRENDS

2006

2010

slide3

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate in your Congressional district?

slide4

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate in your Congressional district? INTENSITY MEASURE

slide5

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democrat candidate in your Congressional district? MIDTERM TRENDS

2002

2006

2010

slide6

DO YOU PREFER TO HAVE:

  • A divided government where Congress is controlled by one party and the White House is controlled by a different political party? OR
  • Unified government where Congress and the White House are controlled by the same political party?
slide7

Which of these best describes how you are feeling about the way things are going in the country today?

slide8

Now, I would like to read you a list of issues that some people from this part of the country have said are important to them. Please listen as I read the list and tell me which one issue you think is most important for Congress to work on?

slide9

How would you rate the job Congress is doing this year? Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing?

slide10

How would you rate the job Congress is doing this year? Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing? MIDTERM TRENDS

2006

2010

slide11

How would you rate the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

slide12

How would you rate the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? INTENSITY MEASURE

slide13

How would you rate the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

slide14

How would you rate the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing?

INSERT DEMO NUMBERS FROM TABS

slide15

Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President, what is your impression of Barack Obama as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him?

slide16

Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President, what is your impression of Barack Obama as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him?

slide17

Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals and organizations that have been mentioned in the news recently. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person or organization, and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so.

Barack Obama

Joe Biden

Harry Reid

slide18

Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals and organizations that have been mentioned in the news recently. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person or organization, and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so.

Nancy Pelosi

Sarah Palin

Newt Gingrich

slide19

Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals and organizations that have been mentioned in the news recently. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person or organization, and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so.

Republicans in Congress

Democrats in Congress

slide20

Now I would like to read you the names of several individuals and organizations that have been mentioned in the news recently. For each one, please tell me whether you have heard of that person or organization, and if so, whether you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of that person. If you do not recognize the name, just say so.

slide21

As you may have heard, Governor Sarah Palin recently released a book about her life called Going Rogue. Have you seen, read or heard anything about this book?

slide22

If “YES” to having seen, read, heard about Palin’s book… Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about this book, has it made you more likely or less likely to have a favorable impression of Governor Sarah Palin?

slide24

WHO WILL BETTER HANDLE THIS ISSUE? (Split Sample A)

  • Republicans in Congress OR
  • Democrats in Congress
slide25

WHO WILL BETTER HANDLE THIS ISSUE? (Split Sample B)

  • Republicans in Congress OR
  • President Obama
slide26

What would you say is your top priority for health care reform?

  • Improve the quality of health care services,
  • Make sure every American has health care, OR
  • Lower the cost of health care for all Americans?
slide27

What do you think the main priority of President Obama is for health care reform?

  • Improve the quality of health care services,
  • Make sure every American has health care, OR
  • Lower the cost of health care for all Americans?
slide28

How they match up: Your health care priority vs. President Obama’s priority:

YOUR Priority

OBAMA’S Priority

slide29

How they match up: Your health care priority vs. President Obama’s priority:

slide30

Which of the following statements best describes your views on health care…

  • No change is needed
  • Only minor changes are needed for the current health care system
  • Major changes are needed for the current health care system
  • Our current health system needs to be replaced with a new system
slide31

Based on what you have seen, read and heard, do you think…

The country would benefit from these health care reforms if enacted?

You and your family would benefit from these health care reforms if enacted?

Split Sample A

Split Sample B

slide32

Have you or anyone in your family been infected with the H1N1 virus, sometimes called the swine flu?

slide33

As you may have heard, Congress recently passed a law that creates a market for businesses to buy and sell energy usage credits. Some have called this law, “cap and trade” while others have called this law the energy and climate bill.

Based on what you know about this law, would you say you favor or oppose it?

slide36

Please tell me if you agree or disagree with this statement:

The economic stimulus passed by Congress is working.

President Obama’s economic stimulation is working.

Split Sample A

Split Sample B

slide37

Have you, a friend, a coworker or an immediate family member been out of work at any time in the past twelve months?

Yes, self

Yes, a friend

Yes, coworker

Yes, an immediate family member

Combo of “YES”

No

Unsure/Refused

slide38

Have you, a friend, a coworker or an immediate family member lose your health insurance at any time in the past twelve months?

Yes, self

Yes, a friend

Yes, coworker

Yes, an immediate family member

Combo of “YES”

No

Unsure/Refused

slide39

Personal Security QuestionsOne a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is extremely insecure and 10 is extremely secure, how you would rate how securely you feel about that item

“The employment security of the highest earner in your household”

0-10 SCALE

slide40

Personal Security QuestionsOne a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is extremely insecure and 10 is extremely secure, how you would rate how securely you feel about that item

“The safety of your neighborhood as it relates to major crimes”

0-10 SCALE

slide41

Personal Security QuestionsOne a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is extremely insecure and 10 is extremely secure, how you would rate how securely you feel about that item

“Your access to quality health care, especially if you got seriously ill”

0-10 SCALE

slide42

Personal Security QuestionsOne a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is extremely insecure and 10 is extremely secure, how you would rate how securely you feel about that item

“Your security in being safe from a major terrorist attack”

0-10 SCALE

slide43

Personal Security QuestionsOne a scale of 0 to 10, where 0 is extremely insecure and 10 is extremely secure, how you would rate how securely you feel about that item

“Your family finances, especially your outlook for next year”

0-10 SCALE