1 / 22

Timing of the Second Maasvlakte

Timing of the Second Maasvlakte. Maurits van Schuylenburg January 17th 2002. Content Presentation. Port of Rotterdam: facts and figures Rotterdam Municipal Port Management Projections of space requirements Timing problem: strategic reserve Research Methodology Simulation model

onella
Download Presentation

Timing of the Second Maasvlakte

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte Maurits van Schuylenburg January 17th 2002

  2. Content Presentation Port of Rotterdam: facts and figures Rotterdam Municipal Port Management Projections of space requirements Timing problem: strategic reserve Research Methodology Simulation model Results

  3. Port of Rotterdam: facts and figures • Total area 10,500 hectares • Industrial area 5,000 hectares • Total employment 350,000 people • Total added value 18 billion EURO’s • Regional added value 7 billion EURO’s • Throughput (2001) 316 million tonnes

  4. Statistics: Rotterdam Municipal Port management • Employees: 1,200 • Leased land: 4,905 hectares • Turnover: 350 mln. EURO’s • Operating profit: 67 mln. EURO’s • Invested capital: 2,833 mln. EURO’s • Return on investment: 10.6 %

  5. Mission RMPM • The RMPM strengthens the position of the industrial port complex in an European perspective. Now and in the long term. • The RMPM is the port authority and an international operating service provider.

  6. 2020, Integrated Projections 1995 2020 Throughput 297 mio tons 480 mio tons Container throughput 4.8 mio TEU 17.6 mio TEU Demand of space 3,900 ha 5,450 ha Modal split (cont.) 31 % barge 40 % 14 % rail 18 % 55 % road 42 % Employment 315,000 persons 375,000 persons Value added 38.6 bln Dfl 104 bln Dfl

  7. Demand for space in the port area 1996 - 2020 (in hectares) • Goods traffic 850 • Distribution 275 • Industry 590 • Other 65 • Strategic reserve 575 • Total demand 2,355 • To be found in port area 1,095 • Lack of space 1,260

  8. Existing port area Survey of industrial land, as of 1 January 1997

  9. Alternative layouts for Maasvlakte 2

  10. Land Reclamation Two alternative designs:Via Yangtze Port* Nett number of hectares to be granted: 1,000 (in phases)* Entrance via Yangtze Port (width 500 m.)* Costs: 1.8 billion EURO’s Separate Entrance* Nett number of hectares to be granted: 1,000 (in phases)* Inland shipping via Yangtze port (width 200 m.) * Costs: 2.3 billion EURO’s

  11. Parties involved • Official players:* National Government (5 ministries) * Province of South Holland* Municipality of Rotterdam* Stadsregio Rotterdam (Greater Rotterdam Area) • Actors:* Environmental and Nature Groups* Employers / employees* Municipalities involved* Private firms

  12. History • October 1991 Draft Portplan 2010 • December 1993 Portplan 2010 Plan of Action ROM • 1996 - 1997 National discussion • May 1998 Start Project Mainportdevelopment Rotterdam (PMR) • June 1998 2020, Integrated projections for Port and Industry (Verkenningen 2020) • December 1999 Consultation of the market • June 2000 Visie en Durf (Vision and Guts) • July 2000 Cabinet letter to Parliament

  13. Planning Process PMR • May 2001: Cabinet decision about PKB-part 1 and MER • Summer 2001: results consultation & advice (PKB-part 2) • December 2001: Cabinet’s definite stance (PKB-part3) • Spring 2002: final decision parliament (PKB-part 4) and start procedures of appeal

  14. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte Problem description: When do we have to start with the construction of the Second Maasvlakte? • Too early ==> high costs • Too late ==> loss of customers Long term sectoral space projections are based on annual average growth. In reality the demand for space fluctuates strongly.

  15. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte Research Methodology (1997): • building of simulation model of the demand for space • with the model the the probability of annual space demands were determined • with an accepted chance of ‘saying no’ to a customer ==> annual space demand is determined

  16. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte Input data: • annual growth per sector (projections) • average space demand per occasion per sector i => i • average number of occasions per sector i per year =>i • statistical distributions of space demand per occasion, based on actual data tested with “Kolmogorov-Smirnov Goodness of Fit” • Arrival pattern both Poisson and Erlang-K (k=4) tested

  17. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte ha/jr   • Transhipment 18,2 9,2 1,97 • Distribution 6,6 1,3 5,08 • Chemical industry 16,0 13,9 1,15 • Other 2,28 0,64 3,56 • Total 43,1 3,66 11,76

  18. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte

  19. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte • Three years before hectares are rented, options are given • In these 3 years financing is arranged, terminal is built etc. • ==> Land is needed about 3 years before actual use • building time of MV2 dependent on alternative and phase 4-6 years

  20. Timing of the Second Maasvlakte Example: 700 ha still available 90% criterion options 3 years building time 4 years ==> shortage in 2006 ==> start building in 2002

  21. Thank You!

More Related