Download
1 / 3
40 likes | 189 Views
In this engaging scenario, Joshua challenges his sister Lisa to a game of chance with candies from his opaque jar containing four lemon sourballs and two cherry sourballs. Each time Lisa picks a sourball, Joshua claims it's his favorite flavor, attempting to manipulate her choice. Unperturbed, Lisa devises a clever counter-strategy: by keeping her first choice, she ensures that if it turns out to be Joshua's favorite, she can select another. This illustrates key concepts in independent and dependent probability through sibling rivalry and playful tactics.
E N D
ProbabilityIndependent vs. Dependent Unit #9, Day 6 Mrs. King
Introduction: Joshua keeps an opaque jar of candies on his desk. In the jar are four lemon sourballs and two cherry sourballs. Teasingly, he tells his sister Lisa that she can have a sourball as long as the one she takes is not his favorite. No matter which flavor she pulls out, he intends to say, “Oh, no! You can’t have that one! It’s my favorite flavor. Put that back and grab a different one!” He’ll only allow her to have a sourball if the second is a different flavor.
Intro, cont. Lisa sees right through her brother’s ruse. Hoping to outwit her brother, she responds, “Well, I won’t be able to remember what flavor I pulled the first time, so I’ll hold on to the first sourball and if it is your favorite flavor, I’ll pick a second one.”
