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ESIL-02 Overview. Workshop Ground Rules. All attendees represent themselves only and do NOT represent the views of their employer Please consider discussions during this workshop off-the-record Specific quotes or opinions that aren’t your own should remain off the web/social media.

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workshop ground rules
Workshop Ground Rules
  • All attendees represent themselves only and do NOT represent the views of their employer
  • Please consider discussions during this workshop off-the-record
  • Specific quotes or opinions that aren’t your own should remain off the web/social media
objectives
Objectives

Assemble a representative and knowledgeable group of the key emerging leaders within the U.S. space sector to

  • identifythe role of the U.S. Government in the commercial space sector
  • how this role should evolve in the future from the perspective of the assembled group

Connect emerging leaders throughout the industry with peers and current industry leaders

workshop products
Workshop Products
  • Out-brief Tuesday at 4 PM
  • Further research/development after workshop
  • Paper/Presentation IAC 2012, Naples Italy
    • Additional presentations possible
method
Method
  • Identify role of government in commercial space as:
    • Customer
    • Supplier
    • Regulator
    • International Representation
  • Identify how this role may evolve in the future
    • What are the key things that need to be considered?
method ii
Method II
  • Consider government effect on competitive forces:
    • Threat of Entry
    • Intensity of Rivalry Among Existing Competitors
    • Pressure from Substitute Products
    • Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • Bargaining Power of Suppliers
industry definition
Industry Definition
  • Scope is as broad as group feels appropriate
    • From comsats to commercial crew
  • Certain cross-cutting topics exist
    • What is considered important by this group?
    • What possible improvements can be made?
  • Certain sector-specific topics exist
    • What is considered important by this group?
    • What possible improvements can be made?
cross cutting gov influence
Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence
  • Export control
    • Includes products and workforce
    • Prevents export AND import
      • US Firms Competing Overseas (favors larger firms)
      • Foreign Firms Competing in US (favors larger firms)
    • Impacts all industry segments
    • Impacts all five forces
cross cutting gov influence1
Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence
  • Contracting Mechanism/Good Customer
    • Cost-plus vs fixed price, FAR vs OTA
      • FAR + commercial industry may not be most efficient
        • Skin the game?
        • Government as secondary customer/payload?
    • Impacts all industry sectors
    • Impacts all five forces
cross cutting gov influence2
Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence
  • Research, Development, and Education
    • Workforce training/pipeline
      • Support for fundamental research and fellowships
      • Support for re-training in areas of industry need
    • Prizes
      • Cost-effective innovation engine?
    • IP
      • Protection and expedited evaluation
cross cutting gov influence3
Cross-Cutting Gov. Influence
  • Space Traffic Coordination
    • Domestic
      • Launch/Airspace Interface
      • Range Operations
    • International
      • Orbital Debris/Space Traffic Management
      • Spectrum Interference/Jamming
      • Civil vs military considerations
summary of impacts
Summary of Impacts
  • Where are we today?
  • What is the result?
path of evolution
Path of Evolution
  • Where might these roles go in the future?
  • What possible improvements might be made?
sector specific impacts
Sector Specific Impacts
  • Launch Sector
    • Liability indemnification
    • Launch permit/license
    • Cargo/Crew
sector specific impacts1
Sector Specific Impacts
  • Human Transport Systems
    • Suborbital/Orbital
      • Crew safety standards?
      • Launch component and vehicle component
    • Industry development financing
      • As customer/investor
        • FAR/SAA
        • Cost-plus vs fixed price
        • International competition
sector specific impacts2
Sector Specific Impacts
  • Commercial Remote Sensing
    • Restrictions on publishable performance
    • Major Customer
sector specific impacts3
Sector Specific Impacts
  • Commercial Communications
    • LEO/GEO
    • Spectrum allocation/management
    • Customer
    • Hosted Payloads
    • Secondary Payloads
summary of impacts1
Summary of Impacts
  • Where are we today?
  • What is the result?
path of evolution1
Path of Evolution
  • Where might these roles go in the future?
  • What possible improvements might be made?
out brief structure concept
Out-Brief Structure (concept)
  • Background on objectives
  • Overview of method
  • Overview of cross-cutting impacts
  • Identification of on-going/future improvements
  • Overview of sector-specific impacts
  • Identification of on-going/future improvements
post workshop plan
Post-Workshop Plan
  • Build on presentation with additional research and input
  • Identify lead authors and contributing/review authors
    • Note authorship will not include affiliation
    • Participants represent their own views
  • Draft paper overviewing factors and possible improvements
  • Paper review process
  • Develop paper and presentation for IAC 2012
  • Present elsewhere as appropriate