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Where Were Ware Wear

Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA . a. Where Were Ware Wear. bles. The next 20 years will see more change that the previous 200… …this is the nature of exponential change. Beyond maps & mapping…. …and beyond satellite images…. Home made maps & activity tracking.

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Where Were Ware Wear

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  1. Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA a Where Were Ware Wear bles

  2. The next 20 years will see more change that the previous 200… …this is the nature of exponential change

  3. Beyond maps & mapping….

  4. …and beyond satellite images…

  5. Home made maps & activity tracking

  6. USA amateurs are now venturing into 3D maps with panoramic camera additions of specific locations + vidcam feeds and data from sensors

  7. My prediction Positioning systems will become as essential as communication nets in the future economy

  8. People look at problems through one of these: When they actually need one of these:

  9. Faster & faster wealth generation US$Bn 100 Internet PC Mobile 90 New Company Value 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year

  10. Prediction 2015 Super iPod Every music track ever recorded on a single device in your shirt pocket… …& 10 years later every movie…

  11. Change Time Years 40 20 10 1 Society Companies ConsumersTechnologies Change takes time… Mobile phones > Fixed line = 12 years Digital Fax > Analogue Fax = 8 years Colour TV > B&W TV = 11 years CD > Audio Tape = 9 years DVD > VHS Tape = 7 years Digital Nets > Analogue Nets = 15 years Optical Fibre > Copper + Microwave = 20 years

  12. Where the action always is! Echo- System Business Hot Spot People Technology

  13. A commonly held view… more of the same… …but better!

  14. Today: Big growth areas in mobile... Gambling Ring Tones Wallet Pic sharing Music sharing Movie sharing

  15. Tomorrow: Big growth areas in mobile... Positioning Tracking Monitoring Sensors Healthcare Navigation Security

  16. Let’s converge into one device What is All This Garbage? Television GPS Device Rolodex Phone Walkie-Talkie Camera Portable MP3/Video Camcorder PDA FM Radio watch Game Console PC Pager

  17. Or a nightmare of feature death… doing everything badly?

  18. City Community Campus, Office, Airport, Home Cellular/Satellites International Personal Space PAN LAN MAN WAN Bluetooth UWB RFID WLAN 802.11X WiFi WMAN WiMAX Beam Forming HSDPA WCDMA UMTS The dream….…seamless access! Cameras - VOIP - Sensors - Positioning 3m 30m 3km Ubiquitous

  19. A retail revolution - RFID &WiFi in every EPOS RFID will revolutionize every aspect of the supply chain - from raw materials to manufacture, logistics, supply & support. In the field of healthcare RFID will save lives, increase efficiency and reduce costs.

  20. RFID + multiple sensor chips + nano gyros will also fit inside mobile phones

  21. Cell Phone also becomes: a wallet, transaction centre, passport, ID and passport, insurance/medical record + locator and tracking deviceLocation by: triangulation, GPS, RFID, EPOS, WiFi, BlueTooth, NanoGyros - inertial record….

  22. If time = money......then so does position!

  23. Current GPS Applications Aviation Maritime Highway Railroad Mass Transit Crime Prevention Surveying Agriculture Banking Defenc(s)e Power Telecommunication Law Enforcement Emergency Services Weather Scientific Construction Census Recreation Asset Tracking

  24. 2015 2005 = GPS Alone ~100 - 10m….military ~1m 2010 = GPS + GSM~1m…… military ~10cm 2015 = GPS + GSM+ EPOS + MEMS ~1cm

  25. The destruction of the insurance industryby RFID + GPS +++? Where are my things? Who has them? What are they doing?

  26. One of the biggest opportunities… …risk mitigation in logistics…

  27. Things sometimes go a bit wrong!

  28. >10,000 containers per year pushed overboard in stormy weather… …or lost at sea by some mechanism

  29. RFID Higher orders of complexity to come! Goods Packs Containers

  30. Average truck fill in the UK ~17%

  31. In the next phase RFID + GPS +AI takes over…. …and > $2T may be saved!

  32. On-Line MonitoringAnywhere Anytime Any Activity Sporting Working Zzzzzzz...

  33. Surrogate surgery MM, VR, Telepresence will change... Dublin Sheffield ...the way service is delivered & education & training is provided

  34. A world of opportunity & risk…. Thank you, cochrane.org.uk conceptlabs.net

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