Container shipping on the NorthernSea Route Transbaltic conference 2010The new geography of freight flows in the Baltic Sea Region Jerome VERNY Associate Professor (transport/logistics) Rouen Business School, France
Asia-Europe Market • Containerized freight transported on shipping lanes = 21.6 million TEU in 2008 (30% of containerized freight transported on shipping lanes all over the globe) Annual growth rate of 5-6 % between 2008 and 2015 Annual growth rate of 24 % between 2015 and 2030 (source : HWWI)
Limitations of the transport supply • While the capacity of ports and ships can be improved,… • …the Royal Road will soon reach its limits. Changes in the spatial distribution of freight flows must be envisaged
Pertinence and feasibility of container transport along the NSR • Global warning and progressive lifting of technical constraints on navigation • New geography of places and flows - Feasibility from a cost standpoint.
Discussion: NSR and opportunities for the Baltic Sea Region • Questions: • Future orientation of the transport and function of the Baltic Sea Region in serving internal and intercontinental flows? • Impact on the transport patterns in the Baltic Sea Region? • Connectivity and accessibility of the territories around the Baltic Sea?
Thank you for your attention For more informations : Verny, J. & Grigentin, C., 2009. Container shipping on the Northern Sea Route, International Journal of Production Economics, 122 (1), 107-117
Jerome VERNY International youngresearcheraward, 2009 (OECD-ITF, International Transport Forum) . AssociateProfessor (transport/logistics), RBS, France . Founder and CEO, OPAL Conseil Regional development, Operations and Supply Chain Management consulting firm Research interests: . Economic and transport geography . Geographical economics Current projects: . European Transport Policy, sustainable development and regional development (the decoupling between freight transport and economic growth) . Transport and globalization (Northern Sea Route, Sea-Air transport)