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Prepare Now For The Onslaught The Upcoming Data Release For The 2007 American Community Survey Steve Barker Program Man

Prepare Now For The Onslaught The Upcoming Data Release For The 2007 American Community Survey Steve Barker Program Manager State Data Center. ACS and Census Questions About the Data Geography Presentation Samples The Educational Burden. American Community Survey.

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Prepare Now For The Onslaught The Upcoming Data Release For The 2007 American Community Survey Steve Barker Program Man

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  1. Prepare Now For The Onslaught The Upcoming Data Release For The 2007 American Community Survey Steve Barker Program Manager State Data Center

  2. ACS and Census Questions About the Data Geography Presentation Samples The Educational Burden American Community Survey

  3. Census 2010 and the role of ACS 2010 Census is short-form only ACS replaces Census long form New ACS questions are being added in 2008 and 2009 One ACS question dropped in 2008 ACS and Census Questions

  4. New ACS questions in 2009 Field of Degree For persons holding bachelor’s degree or higher Requested by National Science Foundation (NSF) To help NSF develop estimates of scientists and engineers Duration of Vacancy Similar to data collected in 1960, 1970, 1980, and 1990 Census ACS and Census Questions

  5. New ACS questions in 2008 VA Disability Rating Percentage of disability: 0%, 10-20%, 30-40%, etc. Health Care Insurance Type of provider: employer, individual, military, Indian health, etc. Marital history Married, divorced or widowed in last 12 months? How many times have you been married? In what year did you get married? ACS and Census Questions

  6. Dropped ACS question in 2008 Number of years of active-duty military service ACS and Census Questions

  7. About the Data

  8. About the 2006 ACS data release Used only Single-year estimates Populations of 65,000+ Decisions about data release applied at the table-level Full detail or collapsed data based on the reliability of the estimates in each table Included guidance on comparisons and other resources Housing units and group quarters About the Data

  9. About the 2007 ACS data release Will use both single and multiyear estimates Single year for populations of 65,000+ Multiyear for populations of 20,000+ Decisions about data release probably applied at the table-level Full detail or collapsed data based on the reliability of the estimates in each table Will included guidance on comparisons and other resources Will include housing units and group quarters About the Data

  10. Other points about the 2007 ACS data release Most data products will be identical to 2006 data release Data profiles will add estimates in percent format Selected population profiles will be expanded to include iterations by country of birth Some year-to-year comparisons Subset of data profiles will compare 2007 ACS with 2006 ACS results Will include flags for statistical testing results About the Data

  11. At least it’s not all coming at the same time* 1-Year Estimates August 26, 2008 release of 2007 ACS estimates on income, earnings, and poverty September 23, 2008 release of 2007 ACS estimates on all other topics 3-Year Estimates December 2008 release of 2005-2007 ACS estimates on all topics About the Data

  12. About those 3-year estimates Types of geographic areas receiving 3-year estimates are essentially same as those receiving 1-year estimates (state, county, place, etc.) Estimates are based on Housing unit population data from 2005, 2006 and 2007 Group quarters population data in 2006 and 2007 Estimated 3rd year values by weighting ’06 and ‘07 Will use actual group quarters data in future years About the Data

  13. Geography

  14. Under the 2006 ACS Approximately 5,650 geographic areas qualified for reporting single year data Under the 2007 ACS Approximately 5,650 geographic areas will qualify for reporting single year data Approximately 12,300 geographic areas will qualify for reporting three year data Estimated total of 17,950 geographic data sets to review Geography

  15. Geography * Based in part on areas reported in 2006 ACS data release** All based on Census 2000 population, except MSAs, Micropolitan SAs, and Counties. Those are based on July 1, 2007 population per Census Population Estimates Division)

  16. Geography * Based in part on areas reported in 2006 ACS data release** Based on Census 2000 population except MSAs, Micropolitan SAs, Counties, Cities, and Towns. Those are based on July 1, 2007 population per Census Population Estimates Division).

  17. Statistical Areas likely to be included in 2007 ACS data release Geography 3 year averages only • Micropolitan • Ada • Altus • Ardmore • Bartlesville • Duncan • Durant Both 1 year and 3 year averages • Combined MSAs • Oklahoma City-Shawnee • Tulsa-Bartlesville • MSA • Fort Smith • Lawton • Oklahoma City • Tulsa • Micropolitan • Muskogee • Shawnee • Stillwater • Enid • Guymon • McAlester • Miami • Ponca City • Tahlequah

  18. Counties likely to be included in 2007 ACS data release Geography Both 1 year and 3 year averages • Canadian • Cleveland • Comanche • Creek • Muskogee • Oklahoma • Payne • Pottawatomie • Rogers • Tulsa • Wagoner 3 year averages only • Adair • Bryan • Caddo • Carter • Cherokee • Custer • Delaware • Garfield • Garvin • Grady • Jackson • Kay • Le Flore • Lincoln • Logan • McClain • McCurtain • Mayes • Okmulgee • Osage • Ottawa • Pittsburg • Pontotoc • Seminole • Sequoyah • Stephens • Texas • Washington

  19. Geography Urban Areas likely to be included in 2007 ACS data release 1 year and 3 year averages • Fort Smith • Lawton • Norman • Oklahoma City • Tulsa 3 year averages only • Altus • Ardmore • Bartlesville • Duncan • Enid • Muskogee • Owasso • Ponca City • Shawnee • Stillwater

  20. School Districts likely to be included in 2007 ACS data release Geography Both 1 year and 3 year averages • Broken Arrow • Edmond • Lawton • Moore • Midwest City-Del City • Norman • Oklahoma City • Putnam City • Tulsa • Union 3 year averages only • Altus • Bartlesville • Choctaw/Nicoma Park • Duncan • Enid • Jenks • Muskogee • Mustang • Owasso • Ponca City • Sand Springs • Sapulpa • Shawnee • Stillwater • Yukon

  21. American Indian areas likely to be included in 2007 ACS data release Geography Both 1 year and 3 year averages • Cherokee • Cheyenne-Arapaho • Chickasaw • Choctaw • Citizen Potawatomie Nation-Absentee Shawnee • Creek • Kiowa-Comanche-Apache-Fort Sill Apache 3 year averages only • Osage Reservation • Sac and Fox OTSA • Seminole OTSA • Kaw-Ponca Joint Use Area OTSA

  22. Cities and Towns likely to be included in 2007 ACS data release Geography Both 1 year and 3 year averages • Broken Arrow • Edmond • Lawton • Norman • Oklahoma City • Tulsa 3 year averages only • Ardmore • Bartlesville • Bixby • Del City • Duncan • Enid • Midwest City • Moore • Muskogee • Owasso • Ponca City • Sapulpa • Shawnee • Stillwater • Yukon

  23. Presentation Samples

  24. DRAFT SAMPLE

  25. DRAFT SAMPLE

  26. DRAFT SAMPLE

  27. DRAFT SAMPLE

  28. The Educational Burden

  29. As Census 2010 approaches, there is a strong and pressing burden on those who understand statistics to educate Policy makers The media The public Ourselves About Statistical significance Margin of error Definitional differences The Educational Burden

  30. Sample Size 2006 ACS Sampled approximately 3 million housing units (HU) Yields about 2.19 million interviewed HU (21.9 over 10 years) Sampling rate of approximately 2.4% of HU Approximately 1 in every 40 HU annually 2000 Census Long Form Sampled slightly less than 20 million HU Yielded about 19.2 million interviewed HU Sampling rate approximately 17.0% of HU Approximately 1 in every 6 HU The Educational Burden

  31. The trade-off Yes, we don’t have to wait every 10 years for data But, there is a larger margin of error Because sample size is smaller Because data collection is spread over multiple years Inflationary impact Boundary changes Etc. The Educational Burden

  32. The Educational Burden Census 2000 Sample Rates By Population Size Source: Lynn Wombold, ESRI Chief Demographer; “Sample Size Matters”; ArcUser; Winter 2008, page 9; as accessed at http://esri.com/library/reprints/pdfs/arcuser_sample-size.pdf on July 14, 2008

  33. The Educational Burden 2006 ACS Sample Rates * 11 County Total is total for the 11 Oklahoma counties reported under 2006 ACS Source: US Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey, Quality Measures as accessed at http://www.census.gov/acs/www/acs-php/quality_measures_sample_2006.php on July 14, 2008 and Sample Size for Counties as accessed at http://www.census.gov/acs/www/SBasics/SSizes/SSizes06.htm on July 14, 2008.

  34. The Educational Burden Source: US Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey, Sample Size for Counties as accessed at http://www.census.gov/acs/www/SBasics/SSizes/SSizes06.htm on July 14, 2008.

  35. The Educational Burden Training packages under development • Updating ACS and AFF with additional user resources and guidance on use of single year and multiyear estimates • Planning more “Train the Trainer” workshops • Developing informational handbooks • Planned August 2008 release in PDF format via ACS website • Tailored to following audiences

  36. Steve Barker State Data Center Program Manager steven_barker@okcommerce.gov (405) 815-5182

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