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Market situation and perspectives

Market situation and perspectives

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Market situation and perspectives

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  1. Marketsituation and perspectives Carlos MARTÍN ÓVILO DG Agriculture and Rural Development European Commission Dairy Press Tour 2013 Charmey - 27.10.2013

  2. Milk quota system • International competitiveness • Internal market

  3. Milk Quota system • Introduced in 1984, for 8 years. • Extended in 1992 and 1999 reforms. • CAP 2003 reform: Quota until 1 April 2015. • Health Check 2008: soft landing (5 x 1% in 2009 – 2013).

  4. Milk quota system • International competitiveness • Internal market

  5. EU competitiveness - Milk

  6. Increasing demand:The main driver in the dairy outlook

  7. EU dairy exports(in 1 000 t)

  8. EU world market share

  9. Milk quota system • International competitiveness • Internal market

  10. Milk production below quota

  11. Milk production versus quota in the various MS

  12. Milk production prospects versus quota

  13. EU milk production

  14. Cheese prospects

  15. SMP prospects

  16. Butter prospects

  17. WMP prospects

  18. Milk quota expiry on 31 March 2015 confirmed • Public intervention • for butter and SMP • from 1 March until 31 September each year • up to 50 000 t for butter at a fixed price of 221.75 €/100 kg • up to 109 000 t for SMP at a fixed price of 169.80 €/100 kg • Automatic tendering if and when ceilings reached • Private storage aid possible for butter, SMP and certain PDO/PGI cheeses, if necessary • Takeover of the Milk Package • Exceptional measures against market disturbance, animal diseases, loss of consumer confidence, • Minor unused schemes abolished (milk powder for feed and skimmed milk for casein) • Reformed direct payments (including possibility for coupled payments) & rural development policy CAP 2020 for milk political deal

  19. Conclusions • No shocks expected in terms of production at the end of quotas in 2015 • Increasing share of EU milk exported • Remain competitive at international level will be essential for internal market balance

  20. Information on milk market: http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/milk/index_en.htm PAC 2020: http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/cap-post-2013/index_en.htm Conference "The EU dairy sector: developing beyond 2015": http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/events/dairy-conference-2013_en.htm Thank you for your attention !