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Peacebuilding Design, Monitoring & Evaluation Training. Theory of Change Approach (TOC) 30 November 2011. Monitoring & Evaluating TOC. Yesterday Hierarchy of Results TOC. Today Planning for M&E Data Collection Analysis. Tips for successfully creating strong TOCs.

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peacebuilding design monitoring evaluation training
Peacebuilding Design, Monitoring & Evaluation Training

Theory of Change Approach (TOC)

30November 2011

monitoring evaluating toc
Monitoring & Evaluating TOC

Yesterday

  • Hierarchy of Results
  • TOC

Today

  • Planning for M&E
  • Data Collection
  • Analysis
tips for successfully creating strong tocs
Tips for successfully creating strong TOCs
  • Be clear in your language
  • Be specific. Do not use words like: Capacity Building, strengthening, links, training, engage
  • State specifically what the “capacity building action is”
  • Remember - TOC should state why you choose a particular group, for a particular action.
  • Someone else should be able to read it and know what you intend as a result of your action.
theory of change statement
Theory of Change statement
  • OECD DAC definition: “We believe that by doing X (action) successfully, we will produce Y (movement towards peace)”
  • If we do______ then ____ will result because ________.
task 5
Task - 5
  • Refine your TOC
  • Offer Feedback on the TOC of others
  • Select the TOC to reflect on
the planning app
The Planning App
  • This tool is used for planning your M&E
  • Use it as a way of asking the questions about the TOC
  • What is the Change that you want to see?
  • What do you want to Learn?
  • What do you need to know?
task 6 what would you like to know
Task – 6 What would you like to know?
  • Complete the app using the TOC you have selected
discussion
Discussion

What concerns did you have using the Monitoring and Evaluation Planning App?

  • Combine with the group next to you, reflect together
  • Capture on a flipchart
  • Report back
discussion1
Discussion

What concerns did you have using the Monitoring and Evaluation Planning App?

  • Feedback the flip chart
analysis questions
Analysis Questions
  • Are the results showing the changes you expected to see?
  • Were there any Unexpected Outcomes?
  • Did the ‘If’ happen?
  • How did the 'If' lead to the 'Then'?
  • Did the 'Then' happen?
  • If the ‘If’ or the ‘Then’ did not happen, look at the ‘Because’
  • Follow up question: What happens when all the 'Then' come true, but the Ifs' didn’t happen?
  • What else could have contributed to the change?
additional for external evaluation
Additional for External Evaluation

Internal validity, which includes;

  • Clarity of the description
  • Centrality or connections to the problem
  • Plausibility

External validity has to do with:

  • Relevance to the context,
  • Consistent with known theory,
  • Ethical bias

For more information on evaluating program theories of change see Funnel, Sue and Patricia J. Rogers, Purposeful Program Theory, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, 2011.

reflection
Reflection
  • WYPSP Experience
  • Considering Known Theory
  • Importance of Eliminating Alternatives
discussions
Discussions
  • How can we take a TOC approach forward in CI?
  • How could it complement P-Approach?
  • What would be the role of CCP in supporting this?