1 / 22

3. The Tshwane Regional Emme/2 Transport Demand Model

3. The Tshwane Regional Emme/2 Transport Demand Model. 13 March 2003. Emme/2 Regional Modelling -Outline-. Available models Interim Emme/2 Model Base Year model results Land use data Trip generation Broader Road Network Planning Modelling results Conclusion and recommendations.

neci
Download Presentation

3. The Tshwane Regional Emme/2 Transport Demand Model

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


  1. 3. The Tshwane Regional Emme/2 Transport Demand Model 13 March 2003

  2. Emme/2 Regional Modelling-Outline- • Available models • Interim Emme/2 Model • Base Year model results • Land use data • Trip generation • Broader Road Network Planning • Modelling results • Conclusion and recommendations

  3. Emme/2 Regional Modelling-Available Models- • Premet Emme/2 Model • Study area: GPMC area, part of Northwest & Midrand • 670 traffic zones • Based on 1990/1 O-D survey • Socio-economic data (population& employment) • 1996, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2020 • Mainly Home-based-Work trips • Educational trips only for Pta-East • Status: Last main Updated 1996/98 • Tshwane Recalibration Emme/2 model • Study area: Tshwane area, parts of NW, Midrand & Tembisa • Based on 1998/9 home interviews, CPTR • Socio-economic date (population, employment and students): 2000 only • Status: Model needs to be verified

  4. Emme/2 Regional Modelling-Tshwane Interim Emme/2 model- • Traffic zones and network: • As per Tshwane model • Socio-economic data: • Base year : 2000 as per Tshwane model • Forecasts : As per Premet model (2005-2020) • Tshwane SEQ: 2000/2001 Plan Associates report • Education : 2000 base year data • Matrix development • Trip generation - Combination of Premet & Tshwane models as well as the latest external traffic counts • Premet trip distribution and model split procedures • Matrix adjustments (Centurion SEQ) • 2001/2002 traffic counts • 2001/2002 Land-use data • Adjusted trip generation rates

  5. Emme/2 Regional Modelling-Centurion expected Land-use data-

  6. Dominant Land Use 2020

  7. Expected Residential Densities - 2020

  8. Expected Non Residential Growth

  9. Expected Residential Growth

  10. Emme/2 Regional Modelling-Expected Trip Generation- * Number of trips during the weekday peak hour

  11. Emme/2 Regional Modelling-Conclusion and recommendations- • Conclusion: • It is evident that the Interim Tshwane regional model can be used with sufficient confidence • A major increase in land-use is expected in the study area • Traffic generated within the study area will increase by more than 300% over the next 17 years • Major road network improvements will be necessary to accommodate the additional traffic • Recommendation • Accept the results from the Interim model as basis for the sub-area traffic model • Apply the sub-area matrices generated by the regional model in the sub-area model • Apply the sub-area to develop a phased implementation plan

More Related