Novel Ecosystems + Climate Change = ??? Scott Goodrick USDA Forest Service Athens, GA
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Mapping Environmental Risk • Saxon et al. 2005 • Classified pixels based on 14 environmental variables • Compare current conditions with those simulated by climate model
Conclusions • Novel ecosystems becoming the rule rather than the exception • Future climate conditions in U.S. Will likely have few analogs to current conditions • Historical ecosystems will become less relevant