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Net Migration and Employment Nexus in the Rural Upper Great Plains

By : Inoussa Boubacar UW Stout Eric Thompson University of Nebraska Lincoln Aziza Kibonge University of Nebraska Lincoln. Net Migration and Employment Nexus in the Rural Upper Great Plains. Motivations. Population loss in non-metro counties due to: Increased efficiency in agriculture.

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Net Migration and Employment Nexus in the Rural Upper Great Plains

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  1. By : InoussaBoubacar UW Stout Eric Thompson University of Nebraska Lincoln Aziza Kibonge University of Nebraska Lincoln Net Migration and Employment Nexus in the Rural Upper Great Plains

  2. Motivations • Population loss in non-metro counties due to: • Increased efficiency in agriculture. • Preference for urban amenities. • Mean ages well above national average.

  3. Research Question • What is the long-run potential for demographic growth in the non-metropolitan Great Plains counties?

  4. Figure: Map of the Great Plains

  5. Sample • Period Covered: 1993 to 2002 • Sample: 340 non-metro counties in 7 states (CO, KS, MT, NE, ND, SD, WY).

  6. Descriptive Statistics

  7. Figure 2: Net Migration Trend

  8. Figure 3: Population Trend

  9. Model Specification

  10. Model Con’t

  11. Model Con’t

  12. Empirical Results

  13. Conclusion • Existence of positive bi-directional relationship pair wise between net migration, wage and employment growths. • Employment prospect has a greater stimulating effect on net migration than does wage. • The impact of net migration on wage growth is more pronounced than net migration on employment growth.

  14. Extensions • Include the rest of the counties in the Great Plains. • Include taxes and government expenditures. • Extend the time frame by including more recent years.

  15. Questions?“The Great Plains…feel at times like an almost forgotten region-and yet there are wonders in it.” -Larry McMurtry.

  16. Thanks for your attention!

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