1 / 9

Jiahua Pan Global Change and Economic Development Programme

Developing a Post Kyoto Policy Framework Side Event at UNFCCC SBSTA 18 Environment Rm II; 13:00 – 15:00, June 2003. Commitment of Emissions for H uman D evelopment : an alternative and practical approach to emissions reductions. Jiahua Pan Global Change and Economic Development Programme

morse
Download Presentation

Jiahua Pan Global Change and Economic Development Programme

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Developing a Post Kyoto Policy Framework Side Event at UNFCCC SBSTA 18 Environment Rm II; 13:00 – 15:00, June 2003 Commitment of Emissions for Human Development:an alternative and practical approach to emissions reductions Jiahua Pan Global Change and Economic Development Programme The Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing China

  2. Emissions demand for what? Necessary for human survival and development • household consumption • Basic needs • Luxurious/wasteful consumption • collective consumption • Infrastructure • Public services

  3. Duality nature of emissions There are three duality implications here: • Transferability • Commodity: tradable • Rights for basic human development: not transferable • Collective vs. household consumption • Collective: infrastructure, public services • Private: basic needs and wasteful/luxurious consumptions • Public good and public bad • Social security and development • Climate change

  4. Proposition one: Basic needsa right for decent living standard but not unlimitedCbasic Cbasic • Achievement of human development potentials is a basic human right that should be respected for • human development is not unlimited: bounded by biological and physical constraints • once development potentials are realised, no need for further increase in emissions but automatic reductions

  5. Overall trend of human development: Basic necessity consumption: nutrition(k/c.d) Sufficiency rate: around 3200 calories/day/capita LDCs: lower than subsistence China,Brazil: in between, still increasing

  6. Overall trend of human development: quality of life:life expectancy at birth (yrs) and per capita income ($PPP,1990US$)1998 Life expectancy potential: 85yrs (national average), at $20000/c y = ce b/x; b<0; if x, y = c Rich countries close to the potential, poor countries a long way to fulfillment of HDI potential Acceptable life expectancy at 70yrs or higher: >$8000/c

  7. Proposition two: luxurious/wasteful consumption: unlimitedClux • Human nature: a tendency to show superiority over the others: luxurious cars,large houses • Neglect: TV stand-by; excessive heating/cooling • Such consumption is in existence in both developed and developing countries

  8. An overall framework for Commitment Currently in use technologies (CUT) emissions Dev’ed countries no wasteful consumption CUT for BAT potential Emissions path to fulfillment of human development under current in use technologies Best available technologies (BAT) Emissions path to fulfillment of human development under best available technologies Subsistence/survival emissions time

  9. An Agreement on commitment of Emissions for Human Development? • Ultimate goals of human development: assessment of development needs • Country driven and country specific circumstances based • Exclusion of wasteful/luxurious emissions • UN millennium development goals and WSSD Plan of Implementation • Voluntary and gradual, consistent with FCCC Article 4.1(b)

More Related