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Security Implications of Australian and Indonesia Nuclear Developments

Explore the nuclear power planning in Australia and Indonesia, along with nuclear weapons records and motivations in each country. Understand the role of fantasy in state dynamics and civil society involvement in de-escalation efforts. Learn about programs by Nautilus Institute for nuclear early warning and reshaping security relations between Australia and Indonesia. Delve into historical contexts, different leadership perceptions, and bureaucratic politics influencing nuclear proliferation decisions.

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Security Implications of Australian and Indonesia Nuclear Developments

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  1. Suspects with form: Security implications of Australian and Indonesia nuclear developments for state and civil society Richard Tanter Nautilus Institute rtanter@nautilus.org

  2. Suspects with form: outline • Return of the repressed • Nuclear power planning: • Australia • Indonesia • Nuclear weapons records and motivations: • Australia • Indonesia 4. Contexts, national, bilateral and global 5. Role of fantasy 6. States and civil society in de-escalation of fantasy and reality 7. Nautilus Institute programs: • Civil society nuclear early warning program • Re-framing Australia-Indonesia security relations

  3. Hymans on Australian nuclear proliferation and identity Theory: degree of threat and capacity for self-help explains proliferation decisions, but only through variable of perception: i.e. shifting national identities History: • Menzies: “oppositional but not nationalist” [Tanter: = “oppositional niche imperial] • Gorton: “oppositional nationalist” • Whitlam: non-oppositional nationalist

  4. Walsh on Australian proliferation explanations: bureaucratic politics • Problem: neither motivation nor capacity explain the key period: 1956 -1961 • Better candidates: perceptions of nuclear weapons, leadership shifts, and most importantly bureaucratic politics. • “a contest between two powerful coalitions”: • Pro: the military and the civilian nuclear establishment • Con: Dept of External Affairs and Treasury

  5. Existing research reactors

  6. Planned nuclear power reactor sites

  7. Planned reactors, as of mid-2007

  8. Gunung Muria peninsula sites

  9. Tectonic zones and tsunami hazards ‘

  10. Contamination map, based on Chernobyl model, Schlapfer, 1996

  11. More serious study: An Analysis and Visualization of the Risk Associated with the Potential Failure of Indonesian Nuclear Reactors, John Taylor and Drew Whitehouse, ANU, 1998 http://sf.anu.edu.au/anusf_visualization/viz_showcase/john_taylor/

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