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In re The LAX Master Plan

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  1. In re The LAX Master Plan • What a long, strange trip it … IS

  2. Regional Setting • Large, Complex Region

  3. SCAG (2015) RTP Aviation Scenarios

  4. Need for Plan • Last Master Plan in 1981 for Olympics • Passenger Growth • Cargo Growth • Regional (Background) Growth

  5. A Long, Continuing Process

  6. And then… • Comment Period Extended • Comment Period Extended • Comment Period Extended • “ 9/11” • 2001/09 – Mayor Hahn’s “Safety Alternative” • 2001/12 Hold – Refinement • 2002/03 Resume

  7. Model Timeline • 1995 • RISC (IBM RS6000-C10) • AIX Unix • Emme/2 Version 7 • Single Scenario AM/AP/PM • 2 Classes • Base Year

  8. Model Timeline • ~1996 • PC • Windows 95 (?) • Emme/2 Version 7 • Single Scenario AM/AP/PM • 2 Classes • 2 Horizon Years (2005/2015)

  9. Model Timeline • ~1997 • PC • Windows 95 • Emme/2 Version 8 • Single Scenario AM/AP/PM • 2 Classes • 2 Horizon Years (2005/2015)

  10. Model Timeline • 1997/10 • PC • Windows 95 • Emme/2 Version 8 • Separate Scenarios AM,AP,PM • 10 Classes • 2 Horizon Years (2005/2015)

  11. Model Timeline • 1998 • 3 PCs in mini-Network • Windows 95 • Emme/2 Version 8 • Separate Scenarios AM,AP,PM • 10 Classes • 2 Horizon Years (2005/2015) • Approx. 8 Hrs in Parallel per Year

  12. Model Timeline • 2001 • Laptop PC • Windows 2000 • Emme/2 Version 9 • Separate Scenarios AM,AP,PM • 10 Classes • 2 Horizon Years (2005/2015) • Approx. 9 Hrs in Series per Year

  13. The Ten Classes • Passenger LOV, HOV • Employee LOV, HOV • Cargo Car (LOV), Truck PCE • Other (Project) LOV, HOV • Background LOV, HOV

  14. Model Elements • Zones • LAX • From Aviation Consultant • PV • From Phase I of (Adjacent) Project EIR • Region • From SE Data – “Normal” model • Post Processor • “Pivot” model links into Turning movements

  15. Pre-Run Checklist

  16. RunMacro-1 ~/===================================================== ~/run4438.mac 2002/03/14 ~/ ~/run model chain - 10 Class - Phase 3I - test11 AltD ~/use tst3adpm.mac ~/use Baseline SE se4ad.311 ~/ new tgp4.mac ~/----------------------------------------------------- s=4438 c=begin run4438.mac p=0 ~o=32 ~/ ~/-------------------------- ~<in15/ld1597ms.mac ~/-------------------------- ~/pm ~/-------------------------- c=begin pm i=0 ~<in95/killmf1.mac ~<in95/load1 ~/ ~<in15/p4pv15pm.mac ~<in15/AltD/laxadpm.mac ~/

  17. RunMacro-2 ~<mac/0skimpm3.mac ~<mac/1tgp4.mac se4ad.311 ~<mac/2dist.mac ~/*** New TGen "Model" Telecommute %ages: 1990/5=0.019 2000=0.046 2010=0.056 2015=0.056 ~/*** Background HOV %ages, 2005 (2+): AM= PM= MD= ~/*** Background HOV %ages, 2015 (3+): AM=0.0688 PM=0.1060 MD=0.1283 ~<mac/3vehpm.mac 0.056 0.0688 ~/-------------------------- c=begin pm i=1 ~<mac/0iterskm.mac ~<mac/0skimpm3.mac ~<mac/1tgp4.mac se4ad.311 ~<mac/2dist.mac ~/*** New TGen "Model" Telecommute %ages: 1990/5=0.019 2000=0.046 2010=0.056 2015=0.056 ~/*** Background HOV %ages, 2005 (2+): AM= PM= MD= ~/*** Background HOV %ages, 2015 (3+): AM=0.0688 PM=0.1060 MD=0.1283 ~<mac/3vehpm.mac 0.056 0.0688 ~/-------------------------- c=begin pm i=2 ~<mac/0iterskm.mac ~<mac/0skimpm3.mac ~<mac/1tgp4.mac se4ad.311 ~<mac/2dist.mac ~/*** New TGen "Model" Telecommute %ages: 1990/5=0.019 2000=0.046 2010=0.056 2015=0.056 ~/*** Background HOV %ages, 2005 (2+): AM= PM= MD= ~/*** Background HOV %ages, 2015 (3+): AM=0.0688 PM=0.1060 MD=0.1283 ~<mac/3vehpm.mac 0.056 0.0688

  18. RunMacro-3 ~<mac/4pm.mac ~<mac/5odnew.mac ~<mac/5plotspm.mac ~<mac/5volpm.mac ~<mac/5tabl1pm.mac ~<mac/5truck.mac pm ~<mac/5spd.mac pm ~/-------------------------- ~<mac/vmt10cl.mac pm ad ~<mac/vmt10clb.mac pm ad ~<mac/vmt10clv.mac pm ad ~<mac/vht10cl.mac pm ad ~<mac/vht10clb.mac pm ad ~<mac/vht10clv.mac pm ad ~/-------------------------- ~/summ trn ~<mac/mktrnpt.mac ~<mac/summc.mac ~<mac/summj.mac ~<mac/summm.mac ~<mac/summn.mac ~/-------------------------- c=end of pm ~/-------------------------- c=end of run4438.mac ~/--------------------------

  19. PostHealth

  20. 2 Baselines, 3 Alternatives • Adjusted Environmental • CEQA • “1995 Airport” with Future Background • No Action/No Project • NEPA • “Do Nothing (Future)” Airport with Future Background • Alt A • Alt B • Alt C

  21. Adj.Env. NA/NP Landuse

  22. Alt C Landuse

  23. AdjEnv–Airport Trips

  24. 2015 NA/NP–Airport Trips

  25. 2015 Alt C –Airport Trips

  26. NANP - Network

  27. Alt C – Network

  28. NA/NP Assignment

  29. Alt C – Assignment

  30. Alt C – Difference TotalV

  31. Alt C – Difference Total

  32. Alt C – Difference LAX

  33. Alt C – Difference Background

  34. Impacts • Vs Adjusted Environmental

  35. Impacts • Vs NA/NP