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slide1

THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

tonight s agenda
Tonight’s Agenda
  • Election Results
  • Economy
  • Europe Calendar/Greek Default
  • Technology
    • Smart Phones/Tablets
administrative stuff
Administrative Stuff
  • $15 Club Due
  • $5 more will get you a shirt
    • Oct 9th last day to order shirt
election results
Election Results
  • President: Carl Dick
  • Vice President: Darryl Cornish
  • Director of Marketing: Kyle Hasenmiller
  • Director of Group Simulations: Suyang Zhou
  • Director of Technology: Hunter Tebbitt
  • Director of External Affairs: Andrew Rymarz
  • Treasurer: Nick Melrose
are we on a front end of a recession
Are We on a Front End of a Recession?
  • Europe Derailing our economy again
  • Economic Data is Weak
  • Fed Running out of Tools
  • Fiscal Policy limited by politics
slide7

Thu 22 Sep 11 | 07:00 PM ET

Global Market Meltdown

entering a bear market
Entering a Bear Market?
  • Bear Market is technically a 20% decline
  • Europe has experienced 30%-40% declines already
  • Are we next?
how to trade in a bear market
How to Trade in a Bear Market
  • Very Volatile
  • News Driven
  • Bear market Rallies
  • Buy the dips, sell the rips
slide12
Consumers say current economic conditions are deteriorating in what is a bad sign for the September employment report
slide13
Economic growth for the second quarter ended up stronger than previously estimated but remained anemic
effects of greek default
Effects of Greek Default
  • Future of Europe Depends on Politics
    • Not healthy for the market
  • Many Europeans Don’t want to bailout other countries, could tank the markets
  • Europe Better off in the Long-run without Greece and maybe Portugal
  • Sigh of relief in the euro-zone today as Germany voted to expand the rescue fund for European countries in crisis
slide22

| 1:08 PM ET

Greek Default Outlook

effects of greek default1
Effects of Greek Default
  • Will Greece Default?
    • Greece Runs out of Money in a couple weeks
  • Orderly or Disorderly?
  • Will Euro Banks be Ready?
  • Will the Market Worry about Portugal and Italy?
    • Expect a lot of Volatility
technology
Technology
  • Smart Phones
  • Tablets
  • Cloud Computing
smart phone market share handsets
Smart Phone Market Share: Handsets
  • Apple-18.5%
  • Samsung-17.5%
  • Nokia-15.2%
apple
Apple
  • iPhone 5 design release on Tuesday
  • What will this mean for the stock?
  • How has apple reacted to past iPhone releases?
  • iPads doing well
slide30

Wed 21 Sep 11 | 05:18 PM ET

Time to Take a Bite Out of Apple?

slide31
RIMM
  • Example of a Failing Tech stock
  • In ’08 had Market Cap of $70 billion
  • Currently Mkt Cap is $10 billion
  • Will it eventually get acquired by MSFT or Intel?
slide32

Fri 16 Sep 11 | 12:30 PM ET

Is This the End for Blackberry?

patents are in high demand
Patents are in High Demand
  • Google buys Motorola (MMI) for $12.5 billion
    • 17,000 patents
  • Nortel sells 6,000 for $4.5 billion to a consortium
    • Apple EMC, Ericsosson, MSFT, RIMM, and Sony
  • Who’s Next?
  • Apple & Samsung in major legal battles in Germany and Australia
  • HTC suing Apple
  • Google just bought $18 worth of patents from IBM
potential takeout targets
Potential Takeout Targets
  • IDCC (9,000 patents)
    • Wireless protocol
    • 3G, 4G/LTE
  • EK (1,100 digital camera patents)
  • RIMM (thousands)
  • NOK (thousands)
slide37

| 1:08 PM ET

FOMC Meeting: Fed Launches Operation Twist