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Prospective analysis & IEA for the water environment lessons learned in the Netherlands

This study examines the integrated water management (IWM) approach in the Netherlands, focusing on groundwater and surface water quality, quantity, and ecology. The objective is to assist decision-makers in managing water resources by assessing developments in issues, stakeholder interests, regional differences, and related sectoral policies.

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Prospective analysis & IEA for the water environment lessons learned in the Netherlands

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  1. Prospective analysis &IEA for the water environmentlessons learned in the Netherlands dr.ir. Frans H.M. van de Ven RIZA ir. Ton H.M. Bresser RIVM

  2. Integrated Water Management IWM = management of • groundwater + surface water • quantity, quality and ecology taking into account the demands of society from a number of sectoral policy fields

  3. Relevant sectoral policy fields internal and external integration environment finance economy water management institutions technology socio-cultural spatial planning

  4. Integrated Water Management IWM = a decision making problem taking into account • ecological health of (water)system • stakeholders interests • economic • emotional • steering options IEA IWM

  5. Prospective analysis & IEA objective: • to assist decision makers in their task to manage the water (air, soil, space,….) by assessing developments in • issues • DPSIR • stakeholder interests (economic, social, …) • regional differences • related sectoral policies • steering mechanisms

  6. Developments in IEA in the NL • early ’90: policy analysis • early ’00: multiple methods end-user (decision maker) involvement stakeholder involvement

  7. Aquatic Outlook:4 methods to assess developments imagination reality

  8. 1. Scanning the policies Method: analyse policy documents from • spatial planning • environment • nature • agriculture • economy…. to find common problems, developments, strategy,...

  9. Findings They hardly said anything about water ! (this has drastically changed in the recent years!) So (1): poor external integration of water management (2): change objective of IWM from • protecting against flooding and pollution abatement to • managing water in the interest of the people

  10. work of experts scenario’s complex models profound water-system-focussed limited interaction with stakeholders 2. Policy analysis identification development & analysis selection

  11. Gebruiks- functies Hydrodynamica morfologie Emissies Water- kwaliteit Ecologie Modelling instruments

  12. 7 6.33 voortzetting 6 bemesting op nivo 1993 4.8 5 HUIDIG BELEID 4 Nul-bemesting kton fosfaat 3 1985-lijn 2 SYSTEEM 1 0 1980 2000 2020 2040 jaar P- runoff and leachingin various scenarios

  13. landbouw communaal overige lozingen op riool depositie Sources of direct N-emissions into NL regional water systems

  14. Open Planning Policy Analysis Interchange Process of information 1. Start-up 2. Problems Problems 3. Solutions Solutions 4. Actions New: Collaborative PA

  15. Participants collaborative PA Interchange of Information Open Planning Process Policy Analysis: Professionals Professionals Non-Professionals Including stakeholders Including stakeholders

  16. 3. Trend analysis Method: interviews, deskwork, discussions using expert judgement and statistics in order to find relevant trends and trend breaches in the next 20-25 yrs.

  17. Findings New agenda for IWM: • water economics (extended CBA) • emotional values (cultural, landscape Q) • impact on spatial planning • European dimension / river basin approach / Framework directive • IWM learns to communicate

  18. 4. Future framing / backward mapping Method: Visionary people imagine the future (cf. Jules Verne) than step backward in time and see how to steer developments (stimulate or avoid)

  19. Findings

  20. Function of the 4 methods • stimulate discussion with • decision makers • stakeholders to create “negotiated (shared) knowledge” and “sense of urgency” • raising issues for the policy agenda knowledge agenda n policy agenda • show steering options (how and when)

  21. Discussion • no longer enough to make water system / water policy analysis • decision makers agenda has changed: • safety first • appreciation of water • economic value of water • collaborative planning • impact on spatial/physical planning

  22. Discussion • IEA to (re)formulate & address this new agenda • IEA to provide options, no optimal solutions • IEA to answer steering questions • hard to transfer information Objective: create joint learning process via discussions, games, workshops, … • permanent dialogue with decision makers & stakeholders required

  23. Discussion • WFD n IWM • WFD = instrument; IEA = another instrument • data requirement of WFD n 2004 State & Outlook report avoid double work !

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