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Australia’s Future Workforce Worlds of Work, Gold Coast 19 March 2013 Ivan Neville Branch Manager Labour Market Research and Analysis Branch
Current labour market conditions • Over the year to February 2013, labour market conditions have been relatively subdued: • Employment increased by 197,400 (1.7 per cent) to 11,628,300; • The unemployment rate edged up from 5.2 per cent to 5.4 per cent; • The participation rate rose by 0.1 percentage points to stand at 65.3 per cent; • The Internet Vacancy Index (IVI) decreased by 0.7 per cent in January 2013 and fell more sharply by 23.2 per cent over the year.
Pre-GFC and now... * These figures are for January 2013, the latest available data
Gold Coast and Greater Brisbane Source: 3 month averaged original Labour Force Survey data to January 2013
Year on year employment growth, Gold Coast Source: 4 quarter averaged original Labour Force Survey data to November 2012
National employment growth by industry Actual Projected Indexed, Nov 2002 = 100
Structural change in the labour market Source: ABS trend employment data, November 2012
Job growth by skill5 years to November 2012 Source: DEEWR trend employment data, November 2012
Labour Market Outcomes by Educational Attainment for 25 to 34 year olds – Gold Coast Source: 2011 Census of Population and Housing
Employability skills are important • Some willingness to hire someone without Job Specific Skills: • Experience (8.8%) • Technical skills (6.2%) • Qualifications/licensing/registration (2.1%) • But reluctance to hire someone without employability skills: • Motivation (2.6%) • Communication skills (0.9%) • Organisational skills (0.5%) • English proficiency (0.5%) • Teamwork skills (0.3%) Source: DEEWR, Survey of Recruitment Conditions in Capital Cities, March 2012
National age profile by industry Source: 4 quarter averaged original Labour Force Survey data to November 2012
Going forward, some sectors will perform better than others Source: 2012 DEEWR employment projections to November 2016
Prevalence of skill shortages • Skill shortages are less widespread than at any time over the past six years. • Shortages are more prevalent for trades. • Wastage (that is, people leaving the occupation for which they trained) is an issue for a number of trades. Source: DEEWR Skill Shortage Research
Persistent Shortages Professionals • Civil Engineering Professionals • Midwives • Physiotherapist • Registered Nurses • Sonographer Child Care occupations • Child Care Centre Manager • Child Care Worker Trades Workers • Airconditioning and Refrigeration Mechanic • Automotive Electrician • Chef/Cook • Hairdresser • Metal Machinist (First Class) • Motor Mechanics • Panelbeater • Pastrycook • Sheetmetal Trades Worker • Vehicle Painter 17 occupations have been in shortage for at least 9 of the past 10 years. Source: DEEWR Skill Shortage Research
Growth occupations Even in a subdued labour market, some occupations have shown solid growth over the past five years. These include: • Registered Nurses • Sales Assistants (General) • Aged and Disabled Carers • Electricians • Contract, Program and Project Administrators • Education Aides • Metal Fitters and Machinists • Child Carers • Truck Drivers
Further information • For more information: • www.deewr.gov.au/lmip • www.deewr.gov.au/regionalreports • www.deewr.gov.au/australianjobs • www.joboutlook.gov.au • www.skillsinfo.gov.au • www.jobsearch.gov.au