Chapter 15

1. Chapter 15 Panel Data Analysis

2. What is in this Chapter? • This chapter discusses analysis of panel data. • This is a situation where there are observations on individual cross-section units over a period of time. • The chapter discusses several models for the analysis of panel data.

3. 1. Fixed effects models. • 2. Random effects models. • 3. Seemingly unrelated regression model. • 4. Random coefficient model.

4. Introduction • One of the early uses of panel data in economics was in the context of estimation of production functions. • The model used is now referred to as the "fixed effects" model and is given by

5. Introduction • his model is also referred to as the "least squares with dummy variables" (LSDV) model. • Theαiare estimated as coefficients of dummy variables.

6. The LSDV or Fixed Effects Model

7. The LSDV or Fixed Effects Model

8. The LSDV or Fixed Effects Model

9. The LSDV or Fixed Effects Model • In the case of several explanatory variables, Wxx is a matrix and βand Wxy are vectors.

10. The LSDV or Fixed Effects Model

11. The Random Effects Model • In the random effects model, the αiare treated as random variables rather than fixed constants. • The αiare assumed to be independent of the errors uu and also mutually independent. • This model is also known as the variance components model. • It became popular in econometrics following the paper by Balestra and Nerlove on the demand for natural gas.

12. The Random Effects Model

13. The Random Effects Model • For the sake of simplicity we shall use only one explanatory variable. • The model is the same as equation (15.1) except that αi are random variables. • Since αi are random, the errors now are vit = αi + uit

14. The Random Effects Model

15. The Random Effects Model • Since the errors are correlated, we have to use generalized least squares (GLS) to get efficient estimates. • However, after algebraic simplification the GLS estimator can be written in the simple form

16. The Random Effects Model

17. The Random Effects Model • W refers to within-group • B refers to between-group • T refers to total

18. The Random Effects Model

19. The SUR Model • Zeilner suggested an alternative method to analyze panel data, the seemingly unrelatedregression (SUR) estimation • In this model a GLS method is applied to exploit the correlations in the errors across cross-section units • The random effects model results in a particular type of correlation among the errors. It is an equicorrelated model. • In the SUR model the errors are independent over time but correlated across cross-section units:

20. The SUR Model

21. The SUR Model

22. The SUR Model • If we have large N and small T this method is not feasible. • Also, the method is appropriate only if the errors are generated by a true multivariate distribution. • When the correlations are due to common omitted variables it is not clear whether the GLS method is superior to OLS. • The argument is similar to the one mentioned in Section 6.9. See "autocorrelation caused by omitted variables."

23. The Random Coefficient Model

24. The Random Coefficient Model

25. The Random Coefficient Model

26. The Random Coefficient Model • If δ2 is large compared with υi, then the weights in equation (15.8) are almost equal and the weighted average would be close to simple average of the βi.

27. The Random Coefficient Model