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ISMOR 21 Interacting with the Decision Maker Presentations and Syndicate Exercises

ISMOR 21 Interacting with the Decision Maker Presentations and Syndicate Exercises. Introduction by Geoff Hawkins. Programme. Tues 1000 - 1300 Introduction + Presentations x 5 Tues 1300 - 1400 Lunch Tues 1400 - 1530 Presentations x 3 Tues 1530 - 1600 Tea

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ISMOR 21 Interacting with the Decision Maker Presentations and Syndicate Exercises

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  1. ISMOR 21Interacting with the Decision Maker Presentations and Syndicate Exercises Introduction by Geoff Hawkins

  2. Programme • Tues 1000 - 1300 Introduction + Presentations x 5 • Tues 1300 - 1400 Lunch • Tues 1400 - 1530 Presentations x 3 • Tues 1530 - 1600 Tea • Tues 1600 - 1730 Presentations x 3 • Weds 0830 - 1000 Presentations x 3 • Weds 1000 - 1015 Coffee • Weds 1015 - 1140 Syndicate Exercises x 4 • Weds 1140 - 1300 Syndicate Feedback x 4

  3. Accepted Wisdom • Decision Makers are important and busy people. • Decision makers should not be undermined by OA. • It’s not what you say, it’s the way that you say it. • Timeliness is of the essence. • OA provides advice.

  4. Discussion Points • Accuracy is important but precision is not. • Analysts find their comfort zones and often choose to interact with planning staffs. • Conveyors of bad news will (eventually) be thanked. • Operational Decision Makers are easier to advise than peacetime bureaucrats. • Decision Making is an art and should be recognised as such. • Advice should stimulate thought. • Advice should be tailored to the Decision Maker.

  5. Syndicate Topics • 1Is it good enough to interact only with the Decision Maker's planning staff? • 2How should OA be presented to the Decision Maker? (Consider uncertainty) • 3Should (and can) the analyst work “with” or “for” the Decision maker? • 4Do we need to interact differently for military vs civilian and senior vs junior Decision Makers? • Please consider both Operational Commanders and peacetime Decision Makers.

  6. Syndicate Composition OrganiserRecorderMembers 1 John Owen Ian Mitchell A - E 2 George Rose Charis Snell F - H 3 Dave Lewis Jason Field J - M 4 Hugh Richardson Jackie Offord N - Y

  7. Syndicate Rules • Organisers appoint a chairman and spokesman • Organisers makes sure that progress is made • Chairs should ensure that nobody dominates • All views are valid • Disagreements are a good thing • Recorders note key points and conclusions • Use time wisely

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