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U.S. India Business Forum 2009 U.S. India Chamber of Commerce - Midwest Aviation Panel. Chicago, Illinois June 25, 2009. Setting the Stage - Who We Are. Savio Dias, Kingfisher Airlines, Asst. Sales Manager-Midwest USA & Canada Sami Khaja, Jet Airways, Sales Manager, Midwest and Texas

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U.S. India Business Forum 2009U.S. India Chamber of Commerce - MidwestAviation Panel

Chicago, Illinois

June 25, 2009


Setting the stage who we are
Setting the Stage - Who We Are

  • Savio Dias, Kingfisher Airlines, Asst. Sales Manager-Midwest USA & Canada

  • Sami Khaja, Jet Airways, Sales Manager, Midwest and Texas

  • Raj Sidhu, American Airlines, Sales Manager, US-India/Russia

  • Sanjay Tiwari, KLM Cargo, Manager, US Sales & Customer Service

  • Douglas Ochs Adler, Vedder Price P.C., Moderator


Setting the stage blue skies 1
Setting the Stage - Blue Skies (1)

  • Current State of US-India Relations (India 3.0)

  • India’s GDP has tripled since 2000; 7%+ est. for 2009-2010

  • US Exports to India and FDI have doubled in five years

    • 2004-2007: India imported >$11bn aviation goods from US

    • GE India just received “Validated End-User” authorization

  • Since January: Infra. Development of US$13.59bn

  • Stock Market Rose 17% on May 18

  • Savings Rate of 37%


Setting the stage blue skies 2
Setting the Stage - Blue Skies (2)

  • Open Skies (2005)

  • India’s 11th Five Year Economic Plan (2007-2012) ($600bn)

    • Airports ($9bn), Highways ($78bn), Power ($150bn), Rail ($62bn), Seaports ($18bn), Telcom ($65bn) and Water ($100bn)

    • All sectors intertwined

    • Projects will go through: only 22% India GDP related to exports vs. 65% for PRC

  • Aviation Cooperation Program (2007)

  • Indo-US Aviation Summit (December, 2009)


Storm clouds but not thunder and lightning
Storm Clouds(but not thunder and lightning)

  • Price of Oil

    • Doubled between January and May

  • IATA

    • Projected losses of $9bn for airlines globally

    • India’s airlines account for 35% of losses but only 2% of capacity


A view from the front lines s w o t analysis and discussion
A View From the Front Lines: S.W.O.T. Analysis and Discussion

  • Strengths

  • Weaknesses

  • Opportunities

  • Threats


Not so primary colors 1
(Not so) Primary Colors (1)

  • Green Lights

    • FDI and Tax incentives

    • Waiver of import duties on some capital equipment

    • US Ex-Im Bank Infrastructure Facility ($2.4bn committed)

  • Yellow Lights

    • FY 2008-2009: Nat’l Highways Authority received bids for only 22 of 60 projects

    • Minister Patel: no more airport PPP’s

    • Nuclear power: end-use monitoring and disposal issues


Not so primary colors 2
(Not so) Primary Colors (2)

  • Red Lights

    • High Courts of Bombay and Bangalore rulings (operators = instrumentalities of state)

    • Delhi and Mumbai airports named to IATA “Hall of Shame”

      • Raised fees 207%!

    • FCPA and other corruption concerns

      India scored 3.4 out of 10 (0 = most corrupt and 10 = most honest)

    • Uneven (unequal?) application of laws and regulations


Recommendations
Recommendations

  • KYC and KYP

    • States are easier to deal with

    • Beware Satyma/Maytas situations, esp. w/land permits

  • Include Focus on Infrastructure Utilization

    • ATC: reducing 1 minute off ea. of India’s 2mm domestic flights = 200K ton decrease in CO2 and savings of $67mm

  • Relaxation of ECB Policy: Gov’t fixated on Dabhol

  • Transparency: Cape Town Treaty ratified but never implemented


Thank you
Thank You!

For further information, please contact:

Douglas Ochs Adler

Vedder Price P.C.

875 15th Street, NW, Suite 725

Washington, DC 20005

T: +1-202-312-3325

F: +1-202-312-3322

[email protected]

www.vedderprice.com


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