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The link between appraisal and strategic models. Tony May and Simon Shepherd (ITS). Project F Objectives. Enhance existing predictive transport and land use models

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the link between appraisal and strategic models

The link between appraisal and strategic models

Tony May and Simon Shepherd (ITS)

project f objectives
Project F Objectives
  • Enhance existing predictive transport and land use models
  • Identify those policy instruments which could most usefully be incorporated into existing models and develop and test ways of doing so
  • Enhance existing sketch planning models so that they can be used more effectively and interactively by a wider range of stakeholders
  • Develop our sketch planning models and network management design tools as pilot strategy generation tools
ranking of importance satisfaction
Ranking of importance*satisfaction

[1]Note: The neutral score is 0.3175. Higher scores indicate a barrier. Score 1.0 would indicate Very important and not at all satisfied for all respondents.

case studies
Case Studies
  • MARS – strategic model – Leeds
  • SATURN Various case studies (York Shrewsbury, Cambridge + theoretical)
  • PT-SATURN – Harrogate
  • STM – Strathclyde
  • STEER – York
  • To be presented at a workshop on July 4th
mars in outline
MARS in outline
  • A land use – transport interaction model
  • Reflecting year on year changes over a (say) 30 year period
  • With a simplified representation of spatial structure and networks
  • And with behavioural responses linked to a constant time budget
  • Using Causal Loop Diagrams
  • Designed to assess broad strategies interactively
  • Able to complete a 30 year strategy test within a minute
mars completed
MARS - completed
  • Representation of increased parking search time due to parking capacity
  • Over crowding on public transport
  • Quality factors for bus corridors
  • Congestion added to the off-peak
  • Heavy rail model incorporated for urban stations in Leeds
mars planned
MARS - planned
  • Add awareness campaigns as a policy instrument
  • Add in population cohort approach
  • Develop “flight simulator” front-end
  • Link to Animap facility
  • Test with Leeds
  • Hold general workshop on MARS for all Local Authorities (November 2007)
links to appraisal
Links to appraisal
  • Designed to output an agreed set of indicators
    • Outcome indicators (e.g. CO2)
    • Intermediate outcome indicators (e.g. by mode)
    • Based on those developed in Project C
  • Able to incorporate CBA or MCA objective functions
  • Used elsewhere to identify optimal strategies for a given set of objectives
slide15

MARS Output GIS (2) – example for future use

AniMap interactive

displays animated spatio-temporal information with open-source software and open standards (Web server, PHP, MySQL, Internet Explorer, XML_SVG).