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2013 Rental Market Study

2013 Rental Market Study. Anne Ray July 31, 2013. 2013 Rental Market Study. Affordable Housing Needs Homeless Families & Individuals Special Needs* Preservation, Public Housing & Tenant Characteristics* Farmworkers Fishing Workers * New in 2013. Affordable housing needs are increasing.

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2013 Rental Market Study

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  1. 2013 Rental Market Study Anne Ray July 31, 2013

  2. 2013 Rental Market Study • Affordable Housing Needs • Homeless Families & Individuals • Special Needs* • Preservation, Public Housing & Tenant Characteristics* • Farmworkers • Fishing Workers * New in 2013

  3. Affordable housing needs are increasing Low Income (<60% AMI), Cost Burdened (>40%) Renters, 2005-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey

  4. More households are renting Changes in Florida Households, 2005-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey

  5. Rents are up, incomes are down Real Median Gross Rent and Median Renter Income (2011 $), Florida, 2000-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey

  6. ELI hardest hit; cost burden more common for others too Number of Households Paying More than 40 Percent of Income for Rent, Florida, 2000-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census and 2005 and 2011 American Community Survey

  7. County, demographic analysis • 59% of cost burdened households in large counties, 37% medium, 4% small • Most (61%) 1-2 person households • 212,797 age 55+ (30%), including 63,257 age 75+ (9%) Low-Income (≤60% AMI), Cost Burdened (>40%) Renter Households by County in Florida, 2013 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey; University of Florida Bureau of Economic and Business Research, 2012 Population Projections

  8. Affordable/Available Number of Affordable Units, Affordable/Available Units, and Renter Households by Income, Florida, 2009-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey

  9. Affordable/Available Affordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-30% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey

  10. Affordable/Available Affordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-40% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey

  11. Affordable/Available Affordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-50% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey

  12. Affordable/Available Affordable/Available Housing Units per 100 Renter Households at 0-60% AMI, Modified MSA and Non-Metropolitan Areas, 2009-2011 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2009-2011 American Community Survey

  13. Homelessness: Results Summary • Demand • Individuals: 42,476 • 36,771 from PIT • 5,705 from DOE • Families: 31,148 • 6,333 from PIT • 24,815 from DOE • Supply (HIC + AHI) • Individuals:15,503 beds • Families: 4,124 units

  14. Homelessness: Estimating Demand & Supply Demand Supply Housing Inventory Count Assisted Housing Inventory Point in Time: Shelters, Unsheltered Dept. of Education: Hotels/Motels, Doubled Up Transitional Housing Individuals: Single Adults, Married Adults, Unaccompanied Youth, Child Siblings, Teen Parents w/children Permanent Supportive Housing Family Households: Adults w/children Individual Beds Family Units

  15. Florida Department of Education data • Select only doubled up (B), hotels/motels (E) • Divide into children with family (86%) and unaccompanied (11%) based on statewide counts • Convert children with family into households using 1.86 children/family (natl. statistic) • Aggregate counties to Continuum of Care regions

  16. Continuum of Care Regions: Individuals Homeless Individuals by Region, 2012

  17. Continuum of Care Regions: Families Homeless Families by Region, 2012

  18. Level of Effort • LOE = Number of permanent supportive housing units/beds divided by number of individuals or families • Individuals • Statewide LOE = 0.19 (i.e., 19 permanent supportive housing beds for every 100 homeless individuals) • CoC regions range from 0.01 to 0.35 • Families • Statewide LOE = 0.07 (7 permanent supportive housing units for every 100 families • CoC regions range from 0 to 0.43

  19. Special Needs Definition • An adult person requiring independent living services in order to maintain housing or develop independent living skills and who has a disabling condition; • A young adult formerly in foster care who is eligible for services under s. 409.1451(5); • A survivor of domestic violence as defined in s. 741.28; • Or a person receiving benefits under the Social Security Disability Insurance (SSDI) program or the Supplemental Security Income (SSI) program or from veterans’ disability benefits. Section 420.0004 (13), Florida Statutes

  20. Special Needs: Defining for Rental Market Study • Disability/benefits definition: • Age 18-64, with a disability, receiving Social Security (proxy for SSDI); • Age 18+, with a disability, receiving SSI; • Age 18+, with a VA service-related disability rating of 10 percent or more. • 93,438 low-income, cost burdened renter households meeting this definition (ACS)

  21. Special Needs: Recipients of State Services • Survivors of domestic violence • 8,419 households using emergency shelter (DCF) • Youth aging out of foster care • 5,052 eligible for RTI (DCF)

  22. Special Needs • Core estimate • 93,438 + 8,419 + 5,052 = 101,857 • 14% of statewide total of 737,435 low-income, cost burdened renter households

  23. Special Needs • Other estimates • 24,073 persons in group quarters with same disability/benefits definition • 7,750 persons with severe mental illness, 7,929 with chronic substance abuse in homeless PIT count • 42,186 low income, cost burdened renters with severe disabilities but no benefits • 36,709 low income, cost burdened, owner occupied households with adult child with severe disabilities • State service recipients • 51,116 adults with developmental disabilities • 23,657 persons age 65+ in Long Term Care Community Diversion Pilot • 30,936 persons receiving Aging and Disabled Adult Medicaid waivers • 165,078 adults receiving services for severe and persistent mental illness

  24. Thinking about 2016 • Can Department of Education data identify younger children, family groupings? • Continued outreach re: HUD definition and PIT methods • County-level counts and inventories • Improving count of unaccompanied youth: The Youth Count! Study (http://www.urban.org/UploadedPDF/412872-youth-count-process-study.pdf)

  25. Rental Market Study links • Homelessness report: http://www.shimberg.ufl.edu/publications/Homeless_RMS.pdf • All reports available at http://www.shimberg.ufl.edu/publications3.html • Contact Anne Ray, 352-273-1195, aray@ufl.edu

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