PRT MeS Evaluation . CPPB Workshop. Outline. Background Purpose of evaluation Evaluation approach Findings Plans & concepts National directions for PRT Are we doing the right things/Desirable effects Unintended effects Recommendations (to SwAF) Using CPPB Guidelines Questions.
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Purpose of evaluation
Plans & concepts
National directions for PRT
Are we doing the right things/Desirable effects
Recommendations (to SwAF)
Using CPPB Guidelines
The Provincial Reconstruction Teams were introduced in Afghanistan in 2002
Extend Afghan Government authority
Provide a light footprint
Sweden has been framework nation for PRT MeS since 2006
The Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI)
Jun 2009 – Feb 2010
Is the current direction & guidance for the PRT relevant?
Is the PRT doing the right things?
Which unintentional effect has the PRT had?
Which intended or desirable effects has the PRT not achieved?
Evaluation design and baseline establishment (Jun-Oct 2009)
Theory of change
Evaluation execution (Nov 2009)
Final report and advice on implementation (Dec 2009 – Feb 2010)
The COIN-doctrine (US) a well thought-out approach
The PRT concept is heterogeneous and has contributed to fragmentization
Civil-military coordination needs to be focused
Large freedom = large responsibility
The process of D&G
Tactical mobility a constraint
Security for the population is relatively good in the MeS area
Rule of law completely missing
Not a military task, but will affect mission
Corruption a huge obstacle
ANA has made progress (autumn 2009)
ANP are still facing huge challenges
-> Conclusion: Sweden has focused Security line of operation. This is insufficient for a PRT
Strong army in a weak country; ”Pakistanisation”
Distance from population
Disadvantaged population groups
Revise PRT direction
Improve national C2
Train COIN at the conceptual level
Addressing essential needs
Don’t ask for needs you cannot satisfy
Mission tactics for Force Protection
Is the PRT a CPPB?
We made our own
Crucial step in any CPPB evaluation
Theory of change
Made us focus on plans, concepts and doctrine
Shaped the evaluation
Detailed descriptions useful
Linkages and consistency with values less well developed