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This work by Pal Tamas examines the intricate historical and geopolitical identity of Russia, focusing on its eastern borders and the shifting landscapes of Europe. It explores various models of expansion, integration, and the implications of post-Soviet realities, providing insights into the struggles between Western and Russian geopolitical interests. The book addresses fundamental questions about the nature of Russian identity in the Euro-Asian context and presents a discourse on the vulnerabilities of new elites and states in today's geopolitical arena.
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IDENTITY AND EMPIRE: RUSSIAN HISTORICAL PATTERNS by Pal TAMAS [IS HAS, Budapest]
THE EASTERN BORDERS OF EUROPE Antique interpretations- Tanais/Don 16.-17.c. ” -Don, Volga, Kama, Ob pieces 1720cca. Tatichev/Stalenberg- Urals Danzig-Triest line
BASIC GEOPOLITICAL UNITS OF RUSSIA COMPOSITE BLOCKS: 1.EURO-RUSSIA 2.FAR-EASTERN RUSSIA 3.URALO-SIBIR 1-2. N-S 3.W-E. EXTERNAL GATES: a.Nord-East- Murmansk-Kaliningrad b.South-West- Black Sea c.South-East- Pacific coast d.Nord-East-chukotka, Kamchatka, Behring tr.
RUSSIA, THE CONTINENTAL ISLAND The Baltic-Black sea continental trait and the „limitrof” [V.Cimburskij] After 1991: turninng back to Asia/Europe imperialistic view –no mans land? The real center?: Ekaterinburg- Orenburg-Kemerovo The II. Velikorossija [M.Iljin]
GEOPOLITICAL FRAMES Where does Europe stop? What is the scope of the Euro-Atlantic community? What is the present political meaning of Euroasia, if any? How relevant is the term „Post-Soviet” space at all?
„EASTERN” INTERPRETATIONS OF EXPANSION/INTEGRATION • The Collecting of Lands Model • The Moving of Borders [Colonization Model] • The Strategic Border Model • The Restoration Model • Le Monde Sans Frontiérs Model
Russia in the European Politics Bipolarity of Europe- division on the Rhein France/the Holy Empire… 18.c. weakening Austria. From 1726 Russia in the European big politics AU-SP-RU versus ENG-FR-PRUSS. 1945- elimination of the Austrian-German eastern core, Russia is the now the Eastern core- pushed out of the system, th west is unipolar from that time
THE NEW GAME VULNERABILITY OF THE NEW ELITES AND STATES AS A CENTRAL PROBLEM Primary factors: • External [„Western”] geopolitical interests • Programs of militant nation building and consolidation • Short term Russian geopolitical interests • Major socio-economic tensions in the new states
THE MAJOR „FRONTLINE” a.THE NEW MIDEAST – THE CAUCASUS as part of the region b. Central Asia- as a borderland between China and the Moslim world c. Vulnerability of energy supply lines for Europe Different Russian-Western interests in the 3 regions. In „c” stong co-operation is needed, but in A. and b. not.
FUNDAMENTAL QUESTIONS • Who does generate Post-Soviet underdevelopment? • What are the tools of a low cost „energy imperialism” in comparison with the classical „imperialism of free trade” [Ru-EU?] in this region? • How do networks, webs, or circuits of foreign origin divide the new political class? • Are members of the Post-Soviet intelligentsia still modernization zealots?
CONCLUSIONS • HOTSPOTS: • ZONES OF EASY COMPROMISES: • CONFLICT AVOIDING STRATEGIES for the local CIS elites: a. no, or very few symbolic actions b. selective decisions, networks with different vectors c. relative, or step-by-step „energy independence” d.readyness to compromises in local social conflicts
FUTURE ALTERNATIVE RU-EU SCENARIOS • Neo-Finlandization • „Baltization” • Mexicanization” • Selective-competitive co-operation