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Cities in the Less Developed World. Dr. Rajiv Thakur GEO 365 SP 2010. Urban Population. In more developed regions, 952 million people, or 77% of the population (of 1.23 billion) will live in urban areas by 2015 In less developed regions,

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Cities in the less developed world l.jpg

Cities in the Less Developed World

Dr. Rajiv Thakur

GEO 365

SP 2010

Urban population l.jpg
Urban Population

In more developed regions,

  • 952 million people, or 77% of the population (of 1.23 billion) will live in urban areas by 2015

    In less developed regions,

  • 2.9 billion people, or 48.7% of the population (of 5.97 billion) will live in urban areas by 2015

  • Source: United Nations, Population Division (2004) World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision

    • Data Tables and Highlights

    • Downloadable data available in the United Nations World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision Population Database.

  • Slide3 l.jpg

    Fig. 15.1:Map of world by Pct Urban. Great variations exist among the more Urbanized countries in the developed world and the less urbanized countries in the developing world

    Urbanization and urban growth l.jpg
    Urbanization and Urban Growth among the more Urbanized countries in the developed world and the less urbanized countries in the developing world

    • Urbanization: share of population that live in urban areas. It could be a result of rural-to-urban migration, etc.

    • Urban Growth: refers to the overall growth in the population that lives in cities.

    • When national population grows, cities may grown even without the real shift/migration of people from rural to urban areas.

    • Third world urbanization mostly comes from rural-urban migration

    Who s urban the pct of urban is loosely related to the gdp per capita l.jpg
    Who’s Urban? The pct. of urban is loosely related to the GDP per capita.

    Figure 15.2, p. 427, Kaplan et. Al. 2008

    Developed country with high GDP / capita, LDCs with very low GDP / capita; Latin Amer. countries are highly urbanized, with 2/3rd popl. residing in cities, with the southern cone at 90%; Middle East ~ 85%;

    In 1950, < 1 in 6 in 3rd world lived in cities, in 2000, it is 1 in 2 lives in cities.

    Urbanization rates by region figure 15 3 l.jpg
    Urbanization Rates by Region GDP per capita. Figure 15.3

    • N. America, Europe & Japan are at saturation & hence not urbanizing any more.

    • Asian and African regions are still urbanizing.

    • In many developed countries, rate of urbanization are now declining, it dropped to 3.4% in 2000 compared to 5.2% in the 1950s. Why??

    • Cities in developing countries are growing faster

    1 million or more l.jpg
    1 Million or more GDP per capita.

    • Cities (not MSAs0 of 1 million or more population in 2015

      • In China, 98 urban agglomerations are projected to have populations of 1 million or more by 2015

      • In India, 50 (India’s urban growth and natural increase in Urban areas is relatively slower than that of China)

      • In the US, 45 (continental USA has 49 MSAs>1m, 2000 Census)

      • In Brazil, 21

    • Source: United Nations, Population Division (2004) World Urbanization Prospects: The 2003 Revision, pp. 262-272.

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    Mega-Cities in More Developed Regions GDP per capita.

    Tokyo 36.2

    New York 19.7

    Los Angeles 12.9

    Osaka-Kobe 11.4

    Moscow 10.9

    Paris 10.0

    Mega-Cities in Less Developed Regions

    Mumbai 22.6

    Delhi 20.9

    Mexico City 20.6

    Sao Paulo 20.0

    Dhaka 17.9

    Jakarta 17.5

    Lagos 17.0

    Calcutta 16.8

    Karachi 16.2

    Buenos Aires 14.6

    Cairo 13.1

    Shanghai 12.7

    Manila 12.6

    Rio de Janeiro 12.4

    Istanbul 11.3

    Beijing 11.1

    Largest Cities in 2015 (in millions)[as Projected by the UN World Urbanization Prospects: 2003 Revision, p. 261]

    Causes of urban growth l.jpg
    Causes of Urban Growth GDP per capita.

    • Demographic Factors

      • Natural increase

        • Birth rate minus death rate

      • Migration

        • Net migration = in-migration minus out-migration

        • Rural-to-urban migration (significant in South of Sahara in Africa)

          • For job opportunities outside the primary sector

          • For education for children

      • Primacy

        • Primate city as a focus for investment and for inmigration

        • The population of the largest city is more than twice the size of next largest city. Examples: Lagos (10 m) in Nigeria is 3 times larger that the next largest city of Kano; Mexico City (17 m) is far larger than Guadalaraja (1.6 m); etc.

        • Primate cities also in developed nations: Seoul in S. Korea, 25% the country’s urban population and 20% of the country’s total population.

    Theories of urbanization development kaplan et al pp 433 440 and pacione pp 433 435 l.jpg
    Theories of Urbanization & Development GDP per capita. Kaplan et al. pp. 433-440 and Pacione, pp. 433-435

    Theories of development and underdevelopment

    • Modernization Theory:

      • Trickle-down of growth from large to smaller cities

      • The developing countries are in a process of transition from preindustrial to industrial society, and are in the midst of a capitalist transformation: follows western industrial society

      • Cultural changes are at work, the society will soon be ‘westernized’ and will achieve a modern/developed status

    • Dependency Theory: colonizers and colonies

      • Role of Third World port cities in colonies to export natural resources

      • Neocolonialism = same for former

    • World Systems Theory- Wallerstein

      • Core, semi-periphery, periphery

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    Poverty: Always Lower in Urban Areas GDP per capita. Figure 15.5

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    World-System Theory GDP per capita.

    • Immanuel Maurice Wallerstein

      • Sociologist, historical social scientist and world system analyst

      • Draws from

        • Marx

        • Fernand Braudel

        • Core-periphery

    • Core-Periphery Model

      • Globally, uneven economic development and distribution of power.

    • Interdependent

      • Core

      • Semi-periphery

      • Periphery

    Slide13 l.jpg

    Contemporary Economic Landscapes GDP per capita.

    • Identifying pattern

      • Core and Periphery (World Systems Theory!)

        Immanuel Wallerstein (1984)

        Historical - Structural relationship!

      • Attributes

        • Core

          • Dominant, active in world trade, rich, market type economy, primarily industrial, exporter of manufactured goods, control on capital

        • Periphery

          • Secondary/passive, in world trade, maybe market type or subsistence type, external dependence, import led economy and borrower of capital

    Slide14 l.jpg

    • Other characteristics GDP per capita.

      • Core

        • Controls the most advanced technologies

        • High levels of productivity

        • Low birth rate, low death rate, low infant mortality rates

      • Periphery

        • Socio-economic inequalities

        • Historical experience of colonialism

      • Semi-periphery

        • exploits peripheral regions but are themselves exploited and dominated by center regions.

        • A mix of both sets of processes

    Characteristics l.jpg
    Characteristics GDP per capita.

    Dependency theory l.jpg
    Dependency Theory GDP per capita.

    • Core-periphery relationship is problematic.

      • Economic exploitation of periphery

      • Core growth is the result of exploitation

      • Caused underdevelopment

      • Periphery can only grow by separating from global capitalistic structure

      • How do you extend this idea within an Urban-Rural concept?

      • Think about why did Southern part of Quebec province voted ‘For Separation’ while northern part voted against it?

    Development theory urbanization l.jpg
    Development Theory & Urbanization GDP per capita.

    • Rostow’s stages of economic growth

      • Assumes that poverty and lack of development are the problems

      • Also assumes that poor countries need to emulate Western growth

    New international division of labor l.jpg
    New International Division of Labor GDP per capita.

    • Factories of multinational corporations (MNCs) are located where urban infrastructure permits global connections

      • Often in primate cities of Third World countries

    • Cheap labor made possible by rural-to-urban migration

    • Technology allows the separation of production from management

      • Satellites, computers, containers

    Slide22 l.jpg

    Vance’s GDP per capita. Mercantile Model of Urban Developmentin ColoniesFigure 15.6Examples from IndiaMost port cities connected by railwaysIron, coal, gold, silver, Aluminum, zinc, etc. in interiors connected by railways initially. Most of today’s third world cities were established as port cities/urban centers during colonial era on roads, railways, etc that served as export/import centers to serve their colonizersMost development occurred after independence

    Railway zones l.jpg
    Railway Zones GDP per capita.

    Characteristics of third world cities slums formed from overcrowding of low paid folks l.jpg
    Characteristics of Third World Cities: Slums formed from overcrowding of low paid folks

    Slum opposite of Bandra Railway Station, Mumbai, India

    Slum in kolkata india favela mexico city l.jpg
    Slum in Kolkata, India overcrowding of low paid folksFavela, Mexico City

    School children walk to their shanty homes in kenya they live 10 to a room l.jpg
    School Children walk to their shanty homes in Kenya They live 10 to a room

    Slums Housing on the

    approach to Delhi by train

    Poverty inequality gender l.jpg
    POVERTY - INEQUALITY & GENDER live 10 to a room

    • Poverty

      • Illiteracy, destitution, 100s of millions

      • Kolkata – 700,00 homeless

      • Shantytowns / Bustees

      • Informal Economic Sector(90% production by women )

      • 45 % of India’s population with Income < $1/day(UNDF)

      • 390 millions with Income < $1 per week

    Planet of slums the title of a book by mike davis 2006 l.jpg
    Planet of Slums live 10 to a room[The title of a book by Mike Davis, 2006]

    • A slum is characterized by overcrowding, poor or informal housing, inadequate access to safe water and sanitation, and insecurity of tenure.

      • Includes peripheral shantytowns as well as inner-city tenements

    • “Bombay, with 10 to 12 million squatters and tenement-dwellers, is the global capital of slum-dwelling, followed by Mexico City and Dhaka (9 to 10 million each), and then Lagos, Cairo, Karachi, Kishasa-Brazzaville, Sao Paulo, Shanghai, and Delhi (6 to 8 million each).”

      • Source: M. Davis, Planet of Slums. London: Verso, 2006, p. 23


    Mumbai skyscrapers l.jpg
    Mumbai Skyscrapers live 10 to a room

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    10 Most Populated MSAs in India live 10 to a room(2009 Estimated Population Based on 2001 Census Count)

    Some famous slum evictions source mike davis planet of slums p 102 l.jpg
    Some Famous Slum Evictions live 10 to a roomSource: Mike Davis, Planet of Slums, p. 102

    Year City Number evicted

    1976 Mumbai 70,000

    • Seoul 800,000

    • Lagos 300,000

    • Rangoon 1,000,000

    • Beijing 100,000

      2001-03 Jakarta 500,000

      2005 Harare 750,000

    Poverty at the edges not in the center figure 15 13 l.jpg
    Poverty at the Edges, not in the Center live 10 to a roomFigure 15.13

    Third world slums and squatter settlements l.jpg
    Third World Slums and live 10 to a room Squatter Settlements

    • Slums form at edges of cities, not in the center

    • No infrastructure is provided (water, utilities, sanitation

      • Pirated electricity

    • Small formal sector, so large numbers unemployed or, at best, in the informal sector

      • “We prefer child labour. Children work faster, work longer hours and are more dependable; they also do not form unions or take time off for tea and cigarettes.” (Pacione, Box 26.3, p. 525)

    Where the poor live source mike davis planet of slums p 31 l.jpg
    Where the Poor Live live 10 to a roomSource: Mike Davis, Planet of Slums, p. 31

    Inner-city slums Peripheral slums

    • Karachi 34% 66%

    • Khartoum 17% 83%

    • Lusaka 34% 66%

    • Mexico City 27% 73%

    • Mumbai 20% 80%

    • Rio de Janeiro 23% 77%

    Health risks in third world cities based on pacione table 27 1 pp 546 549 l.jpg
    Health Risks in Third World Cities live 10 to a roomBased on Pacione, Table 27.1 (pp. 546-549)

    • Contaminated water

    • Inadequate disposal of human wastes

    • Wastewater and garbage

    • Insects, pests (e.g. rats) and parasites in homes

    • Inadequate-sized houses, poor ventilation and overcrowding

    • Children at risk from traffic, unsafe or contaminated sites

    • Indoor air pollution

    • House sites vulnerable to landslides or floods

    • Nutritional deficiencies

    • No or inadequate health care and advice

    • No emergency services

    Few services in third world cities table 15 2 l.jpg
    Few Services in Third World Cities live 10 to a roomTable 15.2

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    Entrepreneurs in the Two Circuits Cities

    • There is a significant difference between entrepreneurs who have an education and who have contacts with markets elsewhere and, on the other hand, entrepreneurs who rely only on the local market and on passers-by

    • Entrepreneurship or self-employment can be a sign of poverty, not of success

      • E.g. street food vendors: “Profit is not the only thing. It is everything.” (Fass 1995, p. 1569)

        • Sources: Fass, Murphy, Tambunan

    Illegal housing in third world cities based on pacione table 25 4 l.jpg

    More than 50% illegal Cities

    Addis Ababa 85%

    Jakarta 62%

    Dar es Salaam 60%

    Bogata 59%

    Cairo 54%

    Ankara 51%

    30-50% of housing illegal

    Karachi 50%

    Lusaka 50%

    Mexico City 50%

    Manila 40%

    Delhi 40%

    Caracas 34%

    Lima 33%

    Sao Paulo 32%

    Illegal Housing in Third World CitiesBased on Pacione, Table 25.4