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Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich

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Market Data ASHRAE May, 7 2009 Keith Stippich. Global Energy Consumption. Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010 (+10.9% overall increase). 400. 350. 50. 0. 300. 250. 200. 150. 100.

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Presentation Transcript
slide1
Market Data

ASHRAE May, 7 2009

Keith Stippich

slide2
Global Energy Consumption

Global Energy Consumption 2005-2010(+10.9% overall increase)

400

350

50

0

300

250

200

150

100

US and Canada Western Russia Other Europe Midddle East Africa Latin America China India Japan/Korea Other Total

Europe Asia/Australia

2005 2010

Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook

slide3
US Energy Consumption

US Building Energy Consumption Cost 2010

Total US Energy Consumption 2010 Direct Site Only (-50% of Total)

(-20% of GDP) Total: $415B

Transportation28%

Industry32%

Residential Buildings22%

Commercial Buildings18%

Non-Identifiable$1 02. 1B25%

Other Identifiable$1 35.5B33%

HVAC Identifiable$177.4B42%

Source: US Department of Energy – Buildings Data Energy Handbook

slide4
Construction Data

US-Non Residential Construction 2006-10Value put-in-place - Annualized Monthly Census data

Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

USD(M) YOY Growth

25% 20%

15% 10%

5% 0%

-5%

-10% -15% -20% -25%

500

450

400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0

Source: US Census Bureau

slide5
US Construction Stimulus?

-10%

-20%

-30%

-40%

20%

30%

10%

Source: US Census Bureau

0%

Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan

Public vs Private Annualized Commercial ConstructionGrowth 2006-10 (Put-in-Place)

Public: 38% of Total (Dec2009) Private: 61% of Total (Dec2009)

slide6
Stimulus Infrastructure Spending

Only $20B paid

out in first year,

which includes

non building

projects

(highways, trains,

levees)

slide7
US Non-Residential Construction Awards

US Non-Residential Contruction Awards - Total

40%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

2010 2011 2012 2013

30%20%10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%-40%

Values Surface

2009/2010 forecasts are down ~20% from Feb 2009, but stable since Nov 2009

Sour e: McGr w-Hill Feb 0

Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 2010

-50%

slide8
US Non-Residential Construction Awards

US Non Residential Construction Awards 2008, 2009, 2010

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

-

Commercial Offices Lodging Other Schools Healthcare Recreation Government Religious Dormitories Manufacturing Warehousing

Total award growth rates: 1.5% (2008), -30.4% (2009), -1.2% (2010)

Source: McGraw-Hill, Feb 10

slide9
Construction Data

Forecast vs. Completions

Institutional ConstructionAwards vs Completed Correlation

15%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

-5%

-10%

Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill

slide10
Construction Data

Forecast vs. Completions

Commercial Construction

Awards vs Completed Correlation

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

-10%

-20%

-30%-40%

Completed Construction (CB) Two Year Award Avg (Current/Prior)

Sources: US Census Bureau, McGraw-Hill

slide11
US Non-Residential Construction

1985-2006

100%

80%

Improvements/Repair

60%40%

New Construction

20%

0%

1985 1990 1995 2000 2006

Source: DOE - Building Energy Data Book, October 2009

slide16
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 3 &4

The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones.

The zones are also selected from the data base to meet the zone heating & cooling loads

slide17
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page 5 & DOE-2 energy reports

ECON-1 Energy use and cost summary

slide18
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report pages 6 thru 8

HVAC System Heating & Cooling load summary

slide19
Energy Pro Design and DOE -2 Output Report page DOE-2 Performance Reports

DOE-2 VRF System Performance

The VRF Central Equipment Module(s) are selected from the Energy Pro data base and adjusted to meet loads from the zones.

The auxiliary heat shown here and on Econ-1 is due to setback in January and setback should be reduced in the cold winter months