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BIOGENIC VOCs. TOPICS FOR TODAY. Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? How do we measure BVOC emissions? How do we model BVOC emissions? How well do we understand BVOC emissions?
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TOPICS FOR TODAY • Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? • What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? • How do we measure BVOC emissions? • How do we model BVOC emissions? • How well do we understand BVOC emissions? • How might BVOC emissions respond to a changing climate?
LARGE SUPPLY OF BIOGENIC VOCs – unrecognized until the 1990s Switches polluted areas in U.S. from NOx-saturated to NOx-limited regime! recognized in Revised Clean Air Act of 1999 Anthropogenic VOCs Isoprene (biogenic VOC) Jacob et al., [1993]
LATEST INVENTORIES OF BIOGENIC vs. ANTHROPOGENIC VOCs …notice difference in scale! Millet et al. [2007]
ISOPRENE: CONTROLLING AIR QUALITY AND CLIMATE C5 H8: Reactive hydrocarbon emitted from plants (primarily broadleaf trees) Annual global emissions ~ equivalent to methane emissions CLIMATE Depletes OH = ↑ CH4 lifetime + OH O3 AIR QUALITY Beijing IPCC, 2007
TOPICS FOR TODAY • Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? • What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? • How do we measure BVOC emissions? • How do we model BVOC emissions? • How well do we understand BVOC emissions? • How might BVOC emissions respond to a changing climate?
GLOBAL ESTIMATES OF BIOGENIC NON-METHANE VOC EMISSIONSTotal: ~1250 Tg yr-1 Other non- reactive VOCs 260 Tg Isoprene 600 Tg Other reactive VOCs 260 Tg Monoterpenes 130 Tg Guenther et al. 1995; Guenther et al. 2006
WHICH BVOCs ARE IMPORTANT? Christine Wiedinmyer, NCAR
BIOGENIC VOCs: MANY COMPOUNDS AND PATHWAYS R. Fall 1999
PARTICULARLY “IMPORTANT” COMPOUNDS Isoprene (C5H8) Monoterpenes(C10H16) Sesquiterpenes (C15H24) MBO (2-methyl-3-buten-2-ol, C5H10O)
TOPICS FOR TODAY • Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? • What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? • How do we measure BVOC emissions? • How do we model BVOC emissions? • How well do we understand BVOC emissions? • How might BVOC emissions respond to a changing climate?
TOOLS FOR INVESTIGATING TRACE GAS FLUXES Analysis using ambient concentrations, isotopes and oxidation products Satellite data (e.g. HCHO) Regional Characterization Years Process studies Tower-based flux meas. systems Days Aircraft and blimp-based flux measurement systems Enclosure flux meas. systems TIME SCALE Hours Seconds Leaf Canopy Landscape Regional/global SPATIAL SCALE Christine Wiedinmyer, NCAR
Satellite Studies: GOME HCHO 2.5x1016 molecules cm-2 2 1.5 1 South Atlantic Anomaly (disregard) detection limit 0.5 0 -0.5
TOPICS FOR TODAY • Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? • What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? • How do we measure BVOC emissions? • How do we model BVOC emissions? • How well do we understand BVOC emissions? • How might BVOC emissions respond to a changing climate?
MODELING BIOGENIC EMISSIONS: MEGAN Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature Guenther et al., 2006 • Input files available at: http://cdp.ucar.edu
Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature: MEGAN [Guenther et al., ACP, 2006]
HOW EMISSIONS ARE CALCULATED IN MEGAN F: Emission Flux (g m-2 hr-1) i: gridbox index j: vegetation type index : Emission Factor (g m-2 hr-1) at standard conditions for each vegetation type : fractional area coverage of vegetation type : Activity Factor (accounting for non-standard conditions) : production/loss within canopy factor Guenther et al., 2006
VEGEATION TYPES (PLANT FUNCTIONAL TYPES) CLM landcover
PFT-SPECIFIC EMISSION FACTORS On average, emission from broadleaf trees are 6x higher than needle evergreen, 20x higher than needle deciduous, and 2 orders of magnitude higher than crop emissions! Guenther et al., 2006
BVOC EMISSIONS SCHEME Flux = Emission Factor x Activity Factor () SOIL MOISTURE LIGHT TEMPERATURE LEAF AGE ISOPRENE MONTERPENES [Guenther et al., 2006] [Guenther et al., 1995]
ACTIVITY FACTORS: METEOROLOGICAL AND PHENOLOGICAL VARIABLES CONTROLLING EMISSION • LIGHT • Diffuse and direct radiation • Instantaneous and accumulated (24 hrs and 10 days) • TEMPERATURE (Leaf-level) • instantaneous and accumulated (24 hrs, 10 days) T L T PAR AMOUNT OF VEGETATION Leaf area index (LAI) • LEAF AGE • Max emission = mature • Zero emission = new LAI SUMMER Month SOIL MOISTURE suppressed under drought Guenther et al., 2006
GLOBAL DISTRIBUTION OF ISOPRENE EMISSIONS Distinct seasonality due to vegetation cover and activity factors Guenther et al., 2006
TOPICS FOR TODAY • Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? • What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? • How do we measure BVOC emissions? • How do we model BVOC emissions? • How well do we understand BVOC emissions? • How might BVOC emissions respond to a changing climate?
HOW WELL DO WE KNOW EMISSIONS? • How well to we know the rates of compounds we can currently measure? • What chemical species don’t we see? • Controlling variables? • Long-term Controls • Chemical Environment • Effects of stress • Drought • Oxidants • Herbivory • … LOTS YET TO LEARN!
SPRING 2006 TERPENOID EMISSIONS FROM A EUCALYPTUS FOREST NEAR TUMBARUMBA AUSTRALIA We are using the controlled environment of a growth chamber to investigate the processes controlling this behavior Snowstorm but not this Models can predict this A. Guenther
A MISSING FACTOR: ISOPRENE EMISSION INHIBITION BY CO2 Long-Term growth environment: gene adaptation Dependent on ambient CO2 Short-term exposure: changes in metabolite pools and enzyme activity Dependent on intercellular CO2 Empirical parameterization from plant studies: [Wilkinson et al., GCB, in press] LESS Isoprene in a higher CO2 environment!
TOPICS FOR TODAY • Why do we care about BVOCs? How are they climate-relevant? • What are BVOCs? Why are they emitted? • How do we measure BVOC emissions? • How do we model BVOC emissions? • How well do we understand BVOC emissions? • How might BVOC emissions respond to a changing climate?
HOW WILL BVOC EMISSIONS RESPOND TO A FUTURE CLIMATE? NPP ↑ Temperature↑ 2000 2100 2000 2100-2000 Isoprene emissions projected to increase substantially due to warmer climate and increasing vegetation density. Some/all of this negated by increasing CO2 concentrations…? Heald et al. [2008]
WHAT IS THE IMPACT OF THESE INCREASING EMISSIONS? NPP ↑ Temperature↑ 2000 2100 Methane lifetime increases [Shindell et al., 2007] SOA burden ↑ > 20% [Heald et al., 2008] Surface O3 ↑ 10-30 ppb [Sanderson et al., 2003]
Greener biosphere? Shift in vegetation northwards? Changing plant species? ADDITIONAL COMPLICATION: CHANGING VEGETATION CLM DGVM projects a 3x increase in LAI and a northward expansion of vegetation. [Alo and Wang, 2008; Heald et al., in press]
OTHER UNKNOWN FACTOR: DISTURBANCE Wildfires Pine Beetle Outbreak Kurz et al., 2008 Running et al., 2008