Fads and Fashions: Why Are They So Rapidly Rich?
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Presentation Transcript
Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of CommerceMichael Mainelli Fads And Fashions If They’re So Bad, Why Are They So Rapidly Rich?
Outline • Information asymmetry • Earning curve – the labour theory of value • Fads or fashions? • Positional goods • Tournaments • “To infinity and beyond…” “Get a detailed grip on the big picture.”Chao Kli Ning
Sellers > Asymmetric Markets • Buyers cannot assess quality before a sale is made. • Sellers know the quality prior to sale and gain by passing off lower quality as higher. • Sellers have no credible disclosure technology or method. • The market lacks effective public quality assurances (by reputation or regulation). • The market lacks effective guarantees.
Earning Curve - Water • RBS, sale of Southern Water to JP Morgan £4.2bn • Water Aid, public donations ('06) £16.9m • Philip Fletcher, part-time chairman, Ofwat, p.a. £100k • London plumber, weekend rate, per hour £150 • Sewage worker, starting salary (p.a.) £13k • Kona Nigari seawater mineral concentrate, 2 oz £16.25 [Management Today, December 2007]
Earning Curve – The Sun • UK spend on suntan lotion, p.a. £146m • Judy Naake, founder, St Tropez fake tans, wealth £45m • Antonio Banderas, Police sunglasses endorsement £1.5m • Solar physicist, Rutherford Appleton Laboratory, p.a. £29k-£34k • Deckchair attendant, Blackpool beach, per hour £5.94 [Management Today, June 2007]
Earning Curve - Coffee • Value of the global coffee industry: £41bn • Nestle, profit ('06): £3.8bn • Howard Schultz, Starbucks founder, net worth: £560m • Store manager, Caffe Nero, p.a.: £17k-£22k • Winner, Singapore Barista Championship prize ('07): £335 • Fairtrade coffee grower, Peru, 10.5-hour shift: £1.50 [Management Today, May 2007]
Earning Curve – Interior Design • Ingvar Kamprad, founder, Ikea, personal worth £8bn • Sir Terence Conran and family, worth £68m • Laurence Llewelyn-Bowen, licensing deals, £20m • Junior interior designer, p.a. £15k-£18k • Charles Eames’ Ottoman chair, value £1.5k • Painter and decorator, London, per day £160 • Part-time sales assistant, Habitat, per hour £4.89 [Management Today, October 2003]
Earning Curve - Boats • Peter Ratcliffe, CEO, P&O Princess ('02) £2,504,768 • Captain, Royal Navy, p.a £65,218-£72,083 • Cruise director, liner, per month £3,800-£7,500 • Ship-builder, UK, p.a. £14,000-£25,000 • Waitress, Queen Elizabeth 2, per month (minimum) £846 • Yacht skipper, per week £125 • Helmsman, RNLI lifeboat £0 [Management Today, August 2004]
Fad Or Fashion? “Se un’idea è più moderna di un’altra, è segno che non sono immortali né l’una né l’altra.” “If one idea is more modern than another, it is a sign that neither one nor the other is timeless.” Carlo Emilio Gadda (1893 – 1973)
Typical Risk/Reward Reward Likelihood Risk
Fads and Fashions - Risk/Reward Reward Fashion Fad Likelihood Risk
To Infinity And Beyond … Professions • Information asymmetry • Localized conformity • Positional goods • Tournaments
Discussion • Does the internet move us to infinity and beyond lemon markets? • Does globalisation lead to tournaments of higher inequality?
Fads and Fashions:If They’re So Bad, Why Are They So Rapidly Rich? Thank you! “Get a big picture grip on the details.”Chao Kli Ning