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European Experts’ Symposium Future and Emerging Issues in Technology Enhanced Professional Learning. Technology trends and their Impact on learning, training, processes and organizations. Wayne Hodgins Strategic Futurist Autodesk Inc. Athens, Greece December 19, 2005. 0.

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european experts symposium future and emerging issues in technology enhanced professional learning

European Experts’ Symposium Future and Emerging Issuesin Technology Enhanced Professional Learning

Technology trends

and their Impact

on learning, training, processes and organizations

Wayne Hodgins

Strategic Futurist

Autodesk Inc.

Athens, Greece

December 19, 2005

wayne hodgins@autodesk com

0

President & Co-Founder

Learnativity.org

Chair,

IEEE Learning Technology Standards Committee

Learning Object Metadata

Strategic

Futurist

wayne.hodgins@autodesk.com

Strategic Advisor

Director:

Worldwide Learning Strategies

Strategic Executive Services

innovation not replication
Innovation not replication!
  • Let’s stop “flapping”
  • and replicating past artifacts
  • Let’s start thinking
  • DIFFERENTLY!!

How does this apply to YOU?!

leadership by example
LEADERSHIPbyEXAMPLE

Look

Around!

Psssssst!

That’s YOU too!

c ontent c ompetencies c ontext
Content,

Competencies

Context

Content

CONTENT

COMPETENCIES

CONTEXT

CONTEXT

Competencies

“C-ing the Future”
c ing the future
“C-ing” the Future
  • Content
    • Get small!
    • Evolving toward a supply chain model
    • Repositories, GUIDs, discovery, resolution
    • Metadata: tagging everything with everything
    • Dynamic assembly AND delivery
  • Competencies
    • Are following similar exponential curve and revolution as content
      • Severe granularity: Skills, Knowledge, Abilities, Behaviors
    • Link to content objects

OBJECTIVES are the critical “connective tissue”!!

  • Context
    • Location based learning
    • Subjective metadata, pattern recognition, etc.
revolutionary transformation
Revolutionary Transformation
  • FROM ▬►TO
  • ===========================================================
  • Macro / Monolithic▬►Micro
  • “just in case”▬►“just enough”
  • “any” time/place▬►“just the right”
  • Searching▬►Finding
  • Instructor/Instruction centric▬►Learner/Learning centric
  • Time to learn▬►Time to performance
  • Prescriptive▬► Performance
  • Episodic ▬► Continuous
  • Consistency▬►Diversity
  • mass production▬►mass customization
  • Publishing few to many ▬►mass contribution
  • Mass market▬► Massive Micro markets
  • Data less guessing ▬►data driven dashboards
  • Tables, charts, lists ▬►data visualization
  • Manual metadata▬►automated metadata eg. categorization
  • e-Training▬►me - Learning
global meta trends
GLOBAL META TRENDS
  • Small
    • Disappearing (digital ink/paint)
    • Reappearing (basics)
  • Standards based
  • Smart
    • NOT intelligent
    • Memory augmentation
    • Helping me know what I don’t know that I do know
    • Decision support
  • Special
    • You ARE a snowflake!
  • Social
    • Collaboration
    • Communication (CoIP)
    • Mass contribution
  • Scattered
    • All the pieces are there, but…………..
the future is already here it is just not evenly distributed william gibson
The future is already here.

It is just not evenly distributed!

- William Gibson

Premature Arrival of the Future

Our goal should be to put

“The art of the possible” into practice

TODAY!

strategic partnerships
Strategic Partnerships:
  • Strategic Corporate Philanthropy
  • Future role of NGO’s, developing markets & regions
  • Research opportunities
    • What if….
    • Scarcity based development
  • Enhanced environments
    • “leap frog” scenarios for rapid change
    • Lack of existing infrastructure,
perfecting the irrelevant
Perfecting the Irrelevant?!!
  • Are we all very very very busy doing this???
impact on learning
IMPACT ON LEARNING
  • Learning becoming a corporate and global IMPERATIVE
    • Following the pattern of IT?
  • Redefining roles
    • Evolution not elimination
      • eg radio
  • Aggressive Patience: Allowing emergence vs design
  • However, saving the best and most important for last.
grand vision

Grand Vision

And some Grand Challenges

grand vision1
Grand Vision
  • In a word? PERSONALIZATION
  • (Or if you insist on a prefix call it..)
  • meLearning!
  • Personalized Learning Experiences for every person every day
    • all 6.2 billion of us -- every day!!
  • Just for me and just right:
    • Time, place, amount, device, medium, way…
    • On demand, adaptive
  • Markets of one: Billions of Markets
  • Learning in ALL forms:
    • Formal AND informal
    • not just online, on computer, on screen
  • “When the learner is ready the ‘teacher’ will appear.”
slide18

EVERY

Cada Uno El aprender

sérhver einn lærdómur

0

každý jeden učenost

有らゆる 某 伝習

Каждо Одно Учить

Cada Um Aprendizagem

svaki neki znanje

Jedes Ein Lernen

каждый один ученость

sulum unus eruditio

toda um aprendendo

cada un aprendizaje

각 1개 배움

あらゆる 1 つ 勉強

ONE

Elk Het leren

varje en inlärningen

Ogni Uno Imparare

her bir bilgi

joka ainoa oppi

每 一個 學習

fiecare unul Learning

mind egy tanulás

svaki pojedinac znanje

Κάθε Ένας Εκμάθηση

al mulig sig indlæring

sleherni nedoločni zaimek učenje

każdy jeden wiedza

bawa't isa mag-aral

LEARNING

Hver En Å læring

Каждый Один Изучение

Chaque Un Étude

enhver ettall innlæring

всеки един наука

todos los días un aprendizaje

every one online in millions as of 2002
EVERY one online? (in millions as of 2002)

Source: NUA Internet Surveys

every one online in millions as of 20021
EVERY one online? (in millions as of 2002)

Europe: Population, total: 729,075,181

Source: NUA Internet Surveys

grand challenges1
GRAND CHALLENGES:

0

EVERY

ONE

ANY

getting to one just the right
Getting to ONE: Just the right….

UP

  • Just the right CONTENT, to
  • Just the right PERSON, with
  • Just the right PARTNERS, at
  • Just the right TIME, on
  • Just the right DEVICE, in
  • Just the right CONTEXT, and
  • Just the right WAY
grand challenges2

Singularity

GRAND CHALLENGES:

0

EVERY

LEARNING

ONE

ANY

learning
Learning
  • augmenting our COGNITIVE limitations
  • Getting better at getting better
  • Unlearning
  • applying existing and emerging research!
slide26

EVERY

Cada Uno El aprender

sérhver einn lærdómur

0

každý jeden učenost

有らゆる 某 伝習

Каждо Одно Учить

Cada Um Aprendizagem

svaki neki znanje

Jedes Ein Lernen

каждый один ученость

sulum unus eruditio

toda um aprendendo

cada un aprendizaje

각 1개 배움

あらゆる 1 つ 勉強

ONE

Elk Het leren

varje en inlärningen

Ogni Uno Imparare

her bir bilgi

joka ainoa oppi

每 一個 學習

fiecare unul Learning

mind egy tanulás

svaki pojedinac znanje

Κάθε Ένας Εκμάθηση

al mulig sig indlæring

sleherni nedoločni zaimek učenje

każdy jeden wiedza

bawa't isa mag-aral

LEARNING

Hver En Å læring

Каждый Один Изучение

Chaque Un Étude

enhver ettall innlæring

всеки един наука

todos los días un aprendizaje

thank you
ThankYou!!

For Questions, Critiques, Comments

Please contact me directly at:

wayne.hodgins@autodesk.com

the future of learning is
The Future of Learning is:
  • Personalized
  • Based on:
    • Performance
    • Patterns
    • Standards
  • Small, granular, modular
  • Dynamic, on demand
  • Learnativity:
    • Integration of work, learn, play, live
    • Creativity, innovation, productivity