National Report (NOAA/NCEP). RTOFS, CFS, SST, sea ice. Hendrik L. Tolman Chief, Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch NOAA / NWS / NCEP / EMC Hendrik.Tolman@NOAA.gov. intro. The bigger pictures: Representing NCEP here, not necessarily all of NOAA: GFDL ocean modeling in climate realm.
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RTOFS, CFS, SST, sea ice
Hendrik L. Tolman
Chief, Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch
NOAA / NWS / NCEP / EMC
Executing the weather-climate strategy
Adapt this vision to ocean modeling.
Add ocean to each time scale.
In queue for summer upgrade
Data Assimilation (SST, SSH, T&S) using 2D/3DVAR
Feature Model Wind
O(9 & 27 km)
Animation of hourly GOES SST 3-day moving average
The Size of the footprint matters!
Pre-storm survey (Gustav)
Model: warmer SST and deeper MLD, Z26 and Z20 IC
1ox1o (1/3o in tropics)
update of the
Current Operational SI Prediction at NCEP
T382 64 levels
Ice Mdl SIS
1/2ox1/2o (1/4o in tropics)
CFSRR at NCEP
Climate Forecast System
Northern and Southern Hemisphere daily ice concentration products based on SSMI data, including SSMI based weather filtering of data.