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Rising Construction Costs. presented by: Kevin Cobb AIA/ARA, the Addington Partnership William Duncan IV, Taft College December 2004. Overview. Construction Economy has become known as the ‘Dismal Science’ Third quarter impacts known now, large increase, but looking stable forward

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rising construction costs

Rising Construction Costs

presented by:

Kevin Cobb AIA/ARA, the Addington Partnership

William Duncan IV, Taft College

December 2004

overview
Overview
  • Construction Economy has become known as the ‘Dismal Science’
  • Third quarter impacts known now, large increase, but looking stable forward
  • ENR 12/04, “After a tumultuous year, price increases for construction products appear to be settling down. But while escalation is slowing, prices will remain stuck at historically high levels.”
slide3

Industry Index Trends

41%

18%

10%

3.1%

0.9%

  • BCI – Building Cost Index
  • CCI - Construction Cost Index
  • MPI – Materials Price Index
basic reasons
Basic Reasons
  • Material prices rising at unprecedented rates
    • Steel, re-bar, copper, concrete, piping, lumber
  • Petroleum
    • Shipping, used in numerous products
  • Overhead increases
    • Healthcare, Worker’s Comp., Liability
  • Labor market weak, less skilled workers available
  • High demand and material shortages
    • World market is now larger consumer
effects
Effects
  • Public construction forecasted to pass residential market in 2005 (first time since early 80’s)
  • Housing market increases projected to stall next year
    • Rising interest rates 5.5% up to 7.5%
      • Trip point generally thought to be 6.5%
    • Could free up both supply and demand
reactions
Reactions
  • Value Engineering in each project
    • Not at expense of future cost
  • Aggressive bidding contacts
  • Shorten bid proposal windows where possible
  • Chancellor’s Office has recognized the problem and quickly reacted
    • However no augmentation for Prop. 47/55 projects
measure a implications
Measure A Implications
  • Budgets impacted in first batches of projects
  • Adjustments made to out-year projects to compensate
  • Contingency funds were used to augment increases and Value Engineering was done to reduce cost
    • Contingency remains above $7M
looking at the future
Looking at the Future
  • Construction increases happened in time to be included in future projects
  • Chancellor’s Office has increased funding for future projects
    • Example, Science Laboratory allowance was $235.56, is it now $401.30 per square foot
  • Costs are projected to remain at or near this level for 24-36 months then climb at historic rates
questions
Questions?

Sources:

Engineering News Record COM

Construction COM

Construction Guide COM

California Construction COM

SC Anderson ACBO Presentation

Building Journal COM

American Institute of Architects ORG

Society of American Registered Architects ORG

Associated Builders and Contractors COM