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Drought and the Midwest

Drought Activities at the NOAA Midwestern Regional Climate Center Michael A. Palecki Illinois State Water Survey Champaign, Illinois. Drought and the Midwest. Short and sharp: 2005, 2007 Long and impactful: 1987-1989 Decadal and devastating: 1930s, 1950s Key to impacts: seasonality of drought

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Drought and the Midwest

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  1. Drought Activities at the NOAA Midwestern Regional Climate CenterMichael A. PaleckiIllinois State Water SurveyChampaign, Illinois

  2. Drought and the Midwest • Short and sharp: 2005, 2007 • Long and impactful: 1987-1989 • Decadal and devastating: 1930s, 1950s • Key to impacts: seasonality of drought • Spring – Summer: agriculture • Fall – Winter: water resources, soil recharge, winter recreation • All seasons: Great Lakes and river levels, barge transportation

  3. Drought is not that easy to characterize … • In 2005, tremendous yield losses were expected, but yields were o.k. in many areas

  4. … and is spatially uneven in its impacts • Illinois did get hit hard in 2005

  5. A World of Differences in Ag Impacts

  6. A World of Differences in Ag Impacts

  7. A World of Differences in Ag Impacts

  8. The MRCC and Drought • Monitor drought and its impacts in real time • produce Web products for public • assist journalists covering the event • provide information and expertise to government • Provide input to the USDM authors regarding the pattern of drought status in the Midwest • direct exchanges with authors • discussions with other advisors in the region (NWS, SCs, etc.) • Participate in case studies of droughts • Drought of 2005 report by the Illinois State Water Survey • Perform research into drought

  9. MidwestClimateWatch • Daily updates of climate analytic maps • Weekly climate highlights • Soil moisture estimates • Links to states http://mrcc.sws.uiuc.edu/cliwatch/watch.htm

  10. Inside a Weekly Update

  11. Typical text during drought, Sept 8-14

  12. Precipitation map for some of the week

  13. Inside a monthly summary

  14. Authors of Climate Watch • Steve Hilberg, Director • Sam Shea and Maria Peters, Service Office

  15. U.S. Drought Monitor Advisor • Mike Palecki, MRCC • Most active input from SC offices in IL, IN, IA, KY, MN, MO • Many NWS personnel • Coordination is an issue at times • Newness and expectations

  16. Current USDM Issues in the Midwest • Drought / Impacts disconnects • Multiple time scales of drought • New monitoring tools

  17. SPI Time Slices • Spatial maps • Time Slices

  18. Helping Out the USDM • Considerable resources at the MRCC support drought monitoring • Drought research for practical applications (drought tools) is ongoing

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