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To assess the impact of climate change/variability and develop adaptive responses for the mixed grain/livestock production systems. SIMULATION MODELS CROP/PASTURE DSSAT APSIM. CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS GCM Sensitivity analysys Scenario based on past changes. INPUTS CLIMATE SOIL
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To assess the impact of climate change/variability and develop adaptive responses for the mixed grain/livestock production systems SIMULATION MODELS CROP/PASTURE DSSAT APSIM CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS GCM Sensitivity analysys Scenario based on past changes
INPUTS CLIMATE SOIL CULTIVAR MANAGEMENT PROCESSES GROWTH & DEVELOPMENT WATER/N BALANCE OUTPUTS GRAIN YIELD & COMP BIOMASS PHENOLOGY WATER/NITROGEN CROP/PASTURE MODELS
Changes in median values between 1930-1960 and 1970-2000 used in future scenarios.
Simulated Yield (DSSAT) Scenario based on past changes
Future tasks: • To assess regional impacts • To evaluate other scenarios • To improve temperature and radiation in WG • To consider mixed systems
ENGINE System Control Manager Clock Report Climate Crop 1 Met Crop 2 SoilWat Crop 3 SoilN Crops Soil GRASP SoilPH Legume SoilP Other Crops New Module Erosion Irrigate Manure Fertiliz Residue Economics Management MODELS and MIXED SYSTEMS CROPPING SYSTEMS MODULARITY FLEXIBILITY LONG TERM CROPS+PASTURES ROTATIONS LONG TERM ANALYSIS APSIM
This module is not fully integrated within the APSIM environment. Not suitable for rotations Development of a new Module to simulate pasture growth Pastures in APSIM APSIM- GRASP Rangeland production This module does not simulate root growth, the nitrogen cycle and the effect of increasedCO2 concentration.
Festuce Rye Grass Development of a new Module to simulate pasture growth Intercropping Canopy competence for light Clover Species and Cultivar Specific parameters competence for Water and Nutrients New Module