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SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ECONOMIC AND HOUSING MARKET FORECASTS. OCTOBER 2009. SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA’S REAL ESTATE CYCLE…. YEARS 2005-2009. DISTRESSED HOUSING TRENDS AND FORECASTS. DISTRESSED HOUSING “SHADOW INVENTORY”. HOUSING CONSTRUCTION. Record Low Construction Activity.

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Presentation Transcript
housing construction
HOUSING CONSTRUCTION

Record Low Construction Activity

stimulus spending
STIMULUS SPENDING

California gets a Large Share of Infrastructure

California gets $24B in State Relief

renewable energy
RENEWABLE ENERGY
  • PHOTOVOLTAIC ROOFING
  • ‘OFF-THE-GRID’ BATTERY-RUN HOUSING
  • PARABOLIC VOLTAIC ‘FARMS’
  • SOLAR / ELECTRICAL VEHICLES
energy technology
Lawrence Livermore Lab began project in 2001 ($2B spent thus far)

World’s most powerful lasers focus on bb-sized hydrogen wafer.

Ignites ‘mini sun’ that generates 500+ trillion watts of peak power

Clean energy

1st fusion power plant slated for 2030

ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
housing market summary

HOUSING MARKET SUMMARY

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA

california long term forecast housing price appreciation
California Long-Term Forecast Housing Price Appreciation

Ideal Land Acquisition = Yr. 2009-10

Ideal Market Entry = Yr. 2011-12

summary and conclusions
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
  • Southern California’s economy is in turmoil, with unprecedented job losses, but job losses are easing.
  • Housing Construction is at an all-time low.
  • Housing Affordability is an all-time high.
  • Distressed Housing Inventory is burning off at a rapid rate.
  • Significant levels (but not a flood) of distressed land inventory will soon be released.
  • Banks will soon begin to work with Asset Management Teams.
  • Economic growth resumes the latter half of Year 2010.
  • Marginal price appreciation begins in Year 2010, and builds toward another cycle of double-digit appreciation.
ree member services
REE Member Services
  • Monthly National O/R Report
  • Webinar Sponsorship Opportunities
  • Full nationwide real estate consulting services
  • Support for Financial Entities in determining:
    • Asset Valuation,
    • Asset optimization,
    • ‘Workout/Build out’ strategies,
    • Liquidation/Distribution strategies

Principal - Mark Robbins Boud

mark.boud@realestateeconomics.com

(949) 502-5151 x101

Director of Sales and Marketing – Judy Dool

Judy.dool@realestateeconomics.com

(949) 502-5151 x114

Customer Service - Sandy Rivera

Sandy.rivera@realestateeconomics.com

(949) 502-5151 x108

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Mark Robbins Boud

mark.boud@realestateeconomics.com

REAL ESTATE ECONOMICS

8961 Research Drive Ste 200

Irvine, CA 92618

P: (949) 502-5151

F: (949) 502-5155