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Do We Need Traffic? Roy Kienitz, June 2012
What’s Up With Driving? 1
Exponential Growth More Growth Not Possible Design Capacity
Exponential Growth Add Capacity
Driving Per Person, 1980- 2011 -- Peaked in 2004 -- GDP has since grown 8% while VMT per capita fell 6% -- Current level equal to 1997 -- Decline not slowing; decrease in 2011 was 2%
Driving Behavior In Germany By Age Group (Km per day)
Driving Behavior In Germany By Age Group (Km per day) -20% In 2000 ½ of German men 18-29 owned a car, today about 1/3.
What Does This Mean For Us? 2
What About Transit? 3
Transit use crashed after WWII 23 billion in 1945 to 7 billion in 1971