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West of England Area Rail Studies. Outline Summary. This presentation summarises the work produced to date as part of these studies. Introductions. David Crockett – Project Manager Transport Economist – 20 years experience Strategic Rail Studies Thameslink HS2 Industry process RUS / RPA

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west of england area rail studies

West of England Area Rail Studies

Outline Summary

This presentation summarises the work produced to date as part of these studies.

introductions
Introductions

David Crockett – Project Manager

  • Transport Economist – 20 years experience
  • Strategic Rail Studies
    • Thameslink
    • HS2
    • Industryprocess RUS / RPA
  • Advisor to Rail Franchises on demand & revenue forecasts
  • Advice on transport appraisal to DfT

Graeme Pollard – Rail Operations Specialist

  • Rail Operator – 20+ years experience
  • Worked for rail operators
  • Numerous projects assessing rail capacity
  • Advisor to Rail Franchises on operational capacity

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

process
Process

Operations

  • What is possible?
  • What is efficient?

Demand/cost/revenue

  • Trade off
  • What is affordable – capital / revenue costs

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

filton bank

Filton Bank

Four-track Railway Infrastructure

filton bank1
What can be delivered without it? – not much!

Allows for the capacity to do other things rather than delivering service enhancements itself.

Filton Bank enhancements do not include four-tracking between BTM and Parson Street stations.

Filton Bank enhancements will not deliver any new stations in the area – per se.

Filton Bank

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

phase 1 portishead to bristol temple meads

PHASE 1 - Portishead to Bristol Temple Meads

New service and infrastructure

portishead to bristol temple meads
New service between Portishead & Bristol Temple Meads with extension to Severn Beach.

Hourly service provides links to Bristol and Severn Beach.

Operational capacity to introduce an hourly shuttle between Bristol and Portishead thus providing a half-hourlyservice.

Additional stations, Portishead, and Pill.

Estimated capital costs = £32.9million (£25.1m for track and signalling, £7.75m for two new stations)

Portishead to Bristol Temple Meads

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

bath to bristol shuttle
New service between Bath Spa & Bristol Temple Meads, with extension to Severn Beach to provide a cross-Bristol (East-West) service.

Providing an additional hourly service between Bath and Bristol, & thus 2 tph at Keynesham and Oldfield Park.

Due to constraints for turn round at Bath Spa, potential turn round would be undertaken at Bathampton (requires implementation of turnback capability).

Estimated capital cost = £2.76million (Bathampton turn back).

Bath to Bristol Shuttle

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

enhancements to severn beach service
Potential for Enhanced and New Services.

Can be combined to link to Portishead & Bath, providing hourly cross-Bristol services.

Half hourly service between Severn Beach & Bristol Temple Meads, with hourly extensions to Bath and Portishead.

Can accommodate additional station at Portway (Park and Ride).

No additional Capital costs.

Enhancements to Severn Beach service

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

greater bristol metro phase 1
Greater Bristol Metro – Phase 1

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

demand revenue operating costs
Demand – Revenue – Operating Costs
  • Initial results are promising.
    • Based around a set of assumptions that require further investigation.
    • Assumptions assume growth in key parts of the network, especially Temple Meads Enterprise Zone.
    • Potential to be included in core franchise specification.
  • BUT More detailed assessment is required.
  • Train Operators always form their own views on the market potential
  • Strong need to engage with the franchise bidders to press the case for Phase 1 Metro.

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

phase 1 summary
Phase 1 Summary

Service Level Provision – Post Phase 1

  • Oldfield Park / Keynsham 2tph
  • Portishead Line 2tph
  • Severn Beach Line 2 tph
  • Parson St – Bedminster additional 1 tph with stopping of Taunton – Cardiff service

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

phase 2 henbury loop

PHASE 2 - Henbury Loop

New service and infrastructure

henbury loop
New Service between Bristol Temple Meads & Henbury.

Likely to be an hourly service between Bristol & Henbury.

Potential for continuation of service to link with Severn Beach Line, although it is unlikely that journey times would be competitive.

Estimated capital costs (with two new stations) = £21 million

Base Scheme includes additional stations at Henbury & Filton North

Capacity on line for stops serving Horfield & Ashley Down – business case for these would need to be proven.

Links to new development of Filton Airfield and wider Henbury area (potential funding mechanism).

Service is not proposed to stop at Stapleton Road and Lawrence Hill, due to operational capacity with other proposed services.

Henbury Loop

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

enhancement of services to yate
New Service between Weston-super-Mare & Yate.

Provide an additional hourly service between Bristol Temple Meads & Yate.

Cross Bristol links (North-South) with the extension to Weston-super-Mare.

Estimated capital cost (turn back facility at Yate)= £4.2 million.

Further investigations are being carried out to improve the operational efficiency of the Yate turnback.

Enhancement of services to Yate

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

greater bristol metro phase 2
Greater Bristol Metro – Phase 2

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

demand revenue operating costs1
Demand – Revenue – Operating Costs
  • Initial results are promising.
    • Based around a set of assumptions that require further investigation.
    • Predicated on growth proposals at Filton Airfield and at Yate.
    • Yate service requires further investigation to improve operational efficiency.
    • Potential to be included in core franchise specification.
  • BUT More detailed assessment is required.
  • Train Operators always form their own views on the market potential

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

phase 2 summary
Phase 2 Summary

Service Level Provision – Post Phase 2

  • PHASE 1
    • Oldfield Park / Keynsham 2tph
    • Portishead Line 2tph
    • Severn Beach Line 2 tph
  • PHASE 2
    • Henbury to BTM – 1 tph – with stops at Filton North and Filton Abbey Wood. Scope for increase to 2tph – but additional infrastructure may be required for freight / passenger interface.
    • Yate to BTM - 2 tph

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

new stations potential
Build Base Service Levels

Issues for New Stations

Capital Funding

Revenue Funding

Operational capacity for additional stops

Impact on existing train users

Portishead – Pill – delivered as part of Portishead scheme

Henbury – Filton North delivered as part of Henbury scheme

Strong potential, but business case needs to be proven with:

Saltford

Ashton Gate

Corsham

Ashley Down / Horfield

New Stations Potential

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

greater bristol metro phases 1 2
Greater Bristol Metro – Phases 1 & 2

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

what is delivered significant change in rail provision
PHASE 1

£40m investment – primarily on Portishead

Half hourly Portishead – BTM, plus cross city run to Severn Beach

Half hourly Bath – BTM, plus cross city run to Severn Beach

Half hourly Severn Beach – BTM – running through to Bath and Portishead

Change Stopping pattern on Cardiff – Taunton to allow stops at Parson St / Bedminster

PHASE 2

Henbury – BTM – once Filton built out

Weston – Yate – to provide Yate half hourly

Station Package with establishment of improved service levels “build it and they will come”

Phasing approach fits with industry plans

Approach is future proof – Phases 1 and 2 do not negate future phases.

Credible response to Industry consultation process.

What is Delivered? Significant change in Rail Provision

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett